Purdue vs. Ohio State Predictions, Odds

  • January 19, 2021
  • By David Schwab
  • VegasInsider.com

As part of Tuesday night’s Big Ten basketball schedule, the Purdue Boilermakers will be on the road against the No. 21 Ohio State Buckeyes. Game time from Value City Arena is set for 6:30 p.m. (ET).



Purdue-Ohio State Betting Odds

  • Spread: Ohio State -3.5
  • Money-Line: Ohio State -210 Purdue +180
  • Total: 139.5

Odds Subject to Change

The Buckeyes have been opened as -3.5-point home favorites for Tuesday’s matchup. The total line for the game is set at 139.5 points.

Purdue has strung together a three-game winning streak both straight-up and against the spread. It is now 5-3 SU (3-4-1 ATS) in Big Ten play with the total going OVER in four of its last six games.

The Boilermakers won the first meeting in this season’s series 67-60 in a PUSH at home. They are now 5-2 SU in their last seven games against Ohio State. Yet, they are just 3-14 SU in their last 14 road games against the Buckeyes.

Ohio State has also won its last three games SU and ATS with Saturday’s road win against Illinois as a seven-point underdog. It is 5-3 SU (5-2-1 ATS) in conference play. The total has gone OVER in six of its last eight outings.

The Buckeyes’ current SU winning streak at home stands at 13 games. The total has gone OVER in 10 of their last 14 games played on a Tuesday.


Betting Analysis – Purdue Boilermakers

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 10-5
  • ATS: 6-7-2
  • SU - Home: 6-0
  • SU - Away: 3-5
  • O/U: 8-7

Purdue closed as a road underdog in recent SU victories over Michigan State and Indiana. Trevion Williams posted a double-double in Sunday’s eight-point win against Penn State as a four-point favorite.

The junior forward has combined for 35 points and 21 rebounds in his last two starts. He leads the team in scoring on the year with 15.3 points while averaging 9.7 rebounds a game.

Guard Eric Hunter is averaging 10.7 points per game while adding a team-high 3.6 assists. The Boilermakers are putting up 71.7 PPG and shooting 45.3% from the field.

This number drops to 35.7% from three-point range. Along with a total of 37.4 rebounds a game (31.1 on defense), Purdue is holding opposing teams to 66.8 PPG.

Betting Analysis – Ohio State Buckeyes

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 11-3
  • ATS: 8-5-1
  • SU - Home: 8-0
  • SU - Away: 3-3
  • O/U: 8-6

The Buckeyes got a big effort from E.J. Liddell in Saturday’s upset over Illinois with 26 points while going 10-for-16 from the floor.

The sophomore forward has a season average of 14.3 points with 6.8 rebounds. Guard Duane Washington leads the team in scoring with 15.4 PPG while only shooting 38.1% from the field.

Guard C.J. Walker (8.7 points and 4.2 assists) remains questionable for Tuesday night with a thumb injury.

Ohio State has a scoring average of 77.6 points with 38.1 rebounds a game. It is shooting 45.1% from the field and 34.1% from three-point range.

Defensively, the team has a points-allowed average of 67.7 with 32.9 rebounds at that end of the court.

Inside the Stats – Purdue Boilermakers

  • PS/G: 71.1 (208th)
  • PA/G: 66.4 (90th)
  • Off Rtg: 105.6 (118th)
  • Def Rtg: 98.7 (186th)

Inside the Stats – Ohio State Buckeyes

  • PS/G: 77.6 (83rd)
  • PA/G: 67.7 (123rd)
  • Off Rtg: 114.9 (16th)
  • Def Rtg: 100.3 (218th)

Key Players to Watch

  • PUR - Trevion Williams (15.5 PPG, 9.56RPG)
  • PUR - Sahsa Stefanovic (10.5 PPG)
  • OHST - Duane Washington (15.4 PPG)
  • OHST - E.J. Liddell (14.3 PPG, 6.8 RPG)

Purdue-Ohio State Predictions

This series has remained tight over the past several seasons with Purdue holding the slight 6-4 SU (5-4-1 ATS) edge over the last 10 meetings. Purdue winning by seven at home on Dec. 16 sets the stage for the Buckeyes to return the favor on their home court.

The game should remain close for the entire 40 minutes but I am taking Ohio State to cover this time.

I'm also going with the UNDER on the total line. The two teams only combined for 127 points in the first meeting against a 133-point closing line. Scoring should remain tight enough to keep the total UNDER the line for this game as well.

  • Score Prediction: Ohio State 67 Purdue 62
  • Best Bets: Ohio State -3.5
  • Best Bets: UNDER

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