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Nuggets vs Timberwolves Game 3 Picks, Odds | NBA Playoffs Prediction

Michael Crosson
Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert
5 minute read

The second round of the NBA Playoffs continues with an excellent 2-game slate on Friday night -- and the second matchup of the evening we'll preview is Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game 3, which is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.

The T-Wolves are 4.5-point favorites on the spread in Friday's contest, while the total is set at over/under 204.5 total points at DraftKings.

Here's everything you need to know about Game 3 of the Western Conference Semifinals between the T-Wolves and Nuggets -- the latest betting odds, as well as our expert picks and prediction for the NBA Playoffs on Friday, May 10.

For more basketball action, check out our NBA odds.

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Odds

DEN @ MIN Odds

  • Full Game
  • 1H
  • 1Q
  • 2Q
  • 3Q
  • 4Q
  • Spread
  • Total
  • Moneyline
Final
Denver Nuggets 503 Nuggets
+4 -110 +1.5 -115 +1.5 -120 +1.5 -110 +1.5 -115 +1.5 -110 +1.5 -115 +0.5 -107 +3.5 -114  
Minnesota Timberwolves 504 Timberwolves
-4 -110 -1.5 -105 -1.5 -100 -1.5 -110 -1.5 -115 -1.5 -110 -1.5 -115 -0.5 -120 -3.5 -106  
Final
Denver Nuggets 503 Nuggets
o204.5 -110 o105 -110 o105.5 -108 N/A o105.5 -115 o105 -112 o105.5 -115 o104.5 -121 o205.5 -112  
Minnesota Timberwolves 504 Timberwolves
u204.5 -110 u105 -110 u105.5 -112 N/A u105.5 -115 u105 -108 u105.5 -115 u104.5 -107 u205.5 -108  
Final
Denver Nuggets 503 Nuggets
+144 N/A +104 +120 +115 +110 N/A +104 +130  
Minnesota Timberwolves 504 Timberwolves
-172 N/A -128 -145 -140 -130 N/A -132 -154  
Final
Denver Nuggets 503 Nuggets
+4 -110 +6.5 -110 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +2.5 -114 +3.5 -114  
Minnesota Timberwolves 504 Timberwolves
-4 -110 -6.5 -110 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A -2.5 -114 -3.5 -106  
Final
Denver Nuggets 503 Nuggets
o204.5 -110 o101 -110 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A o99.5 -109 o205.5 -112  
Minnesota Timberwolves 504 Timberwolves
u204.5 -110 u101 -110 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A u99.5 -122 u205.5 -108  
Final
Denver Nuggets 503 Nuggets
+144 N/A +116 N/A N/A N/A N/A +135 +130  
Minnesota Timberwolves 504 Timberwolves
-172 N/A -142 N/A N/A N/A N/A -175 -154  
Final
Denver Nuggets 503 Nuggets
+4 -110 +1 -115 +0.5 -115 +0.5 even +0.5 -110 +1 -110 +0.5 -110 +0.5 -114 +3.5 -114  
Minnesota Timberwolves 504 Timberwolves
-4 -110 -1 -105 -0.5 -105 -0.5 -120 -0.5 -120 -1 -110 -0.5 -120 -0.5 -112 -3.5 -106  
Final
Denver Nuggets 503 Nuggets
o204.5 -110 o52.5 -110 o52.5 -115 N/A N/A o52.5 -108 o52.5 -110 o52.5 -107 o205.5 -112  
Minnesota Timberwolves 504 Timberwolves
u204.5 -110 u52.5 -110 u52.5 -111 N/A N/A u52.5 -112 u52.5 -120 u52.5 -121 u205.5 -108  
Final
Denver Nuggets 503 Nuggets
+144 N/A -105 +110 even +110 N/A even +130  
Minnesota Timberwolves 504 Timberwolves
-172 N/A -115 -135 -130 -130 N/A -125 -154  
Final
Denver Nuggets 503 Nuggets
+4 -110 +0.5 -115 +0.5 -114 N/A +0.5 -110 +0.5 -115 +0.5 -115 +1.5 -139 +3.5 -114  
Minnesota Timberwolves 504 Timberwolves
-4 -110 -0.5 -115 -0.5 -106 N/A -0.5 -120 -0.5 -105 -0.5 -110 -1.5 +108 -3.5 -106  
Final
Denver Nuggets 503 Nuggets
o204.5 -110 o52.5 -115 o52.5 -118 N/A N/A o52.5 -110 o52.5 -125 o52.5 -117 o205.5 -112  
Minnesota Timberwolves 504 Timberwolves
u204.5 -110 u52.5 -115 u52.5 -108 N/A N/A u52.5 -110 u52.5 -105 u52.5 -114 u205.5 -108  
Final
Denver Nuggets 503 Nuggets
+144 N/A -108 N/A even -102 N/A -103 +130  
Minnesota Timberwolves 504 Timberwolves
-172 N/A -112 N/A -130 -118 N/A -125 -154  
Final
Denver Nuggets 503 Nuggets
+4 -110 +1 -115 +0.5 -102 N/A +1.5 -125 +1 -115 +0.5 -105 +1.5 -112 +3.5 -114  
Minnesota Timberwolves 504 Timberwolves
-4 -110 -1 -115 -0.5 -120 N/A -1.5 -105 -1 -105 -0.5 -125 -1.5 -117 -3.5 -106  
Final
Denver Nuggets 503 Nuggets
o204.5 -110 o50.5 -115 o49.5 -120 N/A N/A o50.5 even o49.5 -110 o49.5 -120 o205.5 -112  
Minnesota Timberwolves 504 Timberwolves
u204.5 -110 u50.5 -115 u49.5 -106 N/A N/A u50.5 -120 u49.5 -120 u49.5 -112 u205.5 -108  
Final
Denver Nuggets 503 Nuggets
+144 N/A +106 N/A N/A +110 N/A +128 +130  
Minnesota Timberwolves 504 Timberwolves
-172 N/A -130 N/A N/A -130 N/A -162 -154  
Final
Denver Nuggets 503 Nuggets
+4 -110 +0.5 -110 +0.5 -110 N/A +0.5 -110 +0.5 -110 +0.5 -110 +1.5 -125 +3.5 -114  
Minnesota Timberwolves 504 Timberwolves
-4 -110 -0.5 -120 -0.5 -110 N/A -0.5 -120 -0.5 -110 -0.5 -115 -1.5 -104 -3.5 -106  
Final
Denver Nuggets 503 Nuggets
o204.5 -110 o49.5 -115 o49.5 -113 N/A N/A o49.5 -105 o48.5 -125 o49.5 -112 o205.5 -112  
Minnesota Timberwolves 504 Timberwolves
u204.5 -110 u49.5 -115 u49.5 -113 N/A N/A u49.5 -115 u48.5 -105 u49.5 -118 u205.5 -108  
Final
Denver Nuggets 503 Nuggets
+144 N/A -100 N/A +105 +102 N/A +114 +130  
Minnesota Timberwolves 504 Timberwolves
-172 N/A -122 N/A -135 -122 N/A -143 -154  

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Nuggets vs Timberwolves Picks & Prediction

You know how it goes in the NBA Playoffs. Once a team goes down 3-0 in a series, you can go ahead and start digging their grave. Teams trailing by three games in a series have never come back to win the round in 155 attempts, and they’ve only forced a Game 7 on four of those occasions. So, are the defending champs going to make this a series, or what?

I’m certainly no stranger to the idea of the Timberwolves posing a bad matchup for a Denver team that usually runs its offense through the center position. Nikola Jokic is Superman for the Nuggets, and the goal is for him to touch the ball on every single possession. But against Minnesota, however, playing through Jokic oftentimes puts the ball in arm’s length of 4-time Defensive Player of the Year, Rudy Gobert – and while Karl-Anthony Towns isn’t particularly known for lockdown defense, he’s still another big body for Minnesota to throw at Jokic defensively, which may not be a perfect solution for every matchup, but it appears to be the MVP’s Kryptonite.

The only way Superman can be defeated though, is by somebody having the power and willingness to take advantage of he Kryptonite in battle, and the villain of this movie is Anthony Edwards. In the first two matchups of this series in Denver, Edwards erupted for 35 points per game on 28-of-46 shooting (60.9%) for the Timberwolves, accounting for roughly 33% of his team’s points in Games 1 and 2 – which was more than enough to lead the T-Wolves to a pair of road wins with their duo of big men holding Jokic well-below his season averages in those two contests at 24 points per game on 16-of-38 (40.5%) from the field and 2-of-10 from 3-point range (20%).

However, make no mistake about it, Nikola Jokic is still Superman, and whenever you think you have him exactly where you want him, that’s when you should be afraid of him throwing on the cape and going to work. He’s the 3-time MVP and the reigning Finals MVP – and we’re talking about a Nuggets team that was listed as +100 favorites to win the Western Conference no less than a week ago, who many people believed would inevitably beat Boston in the Finals. Of course, assuming Minnesota wouldn’t give them too much trouble…

Well, news flash! The Nuggets are officially in trouble. How much trouble are they in? Only time will tell. But, as bad as Denver looked in the first two games of this series, I still think it’s too early to write off the defending champs. I’ve already come to terms with the fact that the world belongs to Anthony Edwards and we’re all just living in it. However, it’s tough to imagine a player as great as Jokic being dethroned in such embarrassing fashion.

Jokic has finally found a worthy counterbalance in Edwards, and based on the way the first two games of this series played out, Edwards may actually have the edge. But even if that’s the case, I still expect the Nuggets to fight back with all their might and leave everything on the floor in Game 3 – which, in the end, may still not be enough to outlast Minnesota in a hostile environment. But at the very least, I think we’ll see Friday’s contest go down to the wire. I’ll take the points with Denver.

Pick: Nuggets +4.5 (-110)

Click this link for our picks and predictions for all NBA Playoff matchups!

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Nuggets vs Timberwolves Game Time & TV Channel

Date: Friday, May 10
Matchup: Northwest
Venue: Target Center
Location: Minneapolis, MN
Time-TV: ESPN, 9:30 p.m. ET

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Betting Stats

2) Denver Nuggets
(2nd Place, Northwest)

  • Odds to Win Finals: +1600
  • Odds to Win Conference: +800
  • Odds to Win Series: +490
  • SU: 57-25
  • ATS: 39-43
  • O/U: 35-47
  • PPG: 114.9
  • OPPG: 109.6

Click this link for the latest betting trends and market movements for Timberwolves vs. Nuggets from VegasInsider Senior Reporter Patrick Everson!

3) Minnesota Timberwolves
(3rd Place, Northwest)

  • Odds to Win Finals: +320
  • Odds to Win Conference: -115
  • Odds to Win Series: -750
  • SU: 56-26
  • ATS: 41-41
  • O/U: 41-40-1
  • PPG: 113.0
  • OPPG: 106.5

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Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson
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