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Washington Capitals vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Picks, Predictions, Odds

Daniel Dobish
Daniel Dobish Sports Betting Expert
6 minute read

The Washington Capitals (41-22-10) travel to meet the Toronto Maple Leafs (47-20-6) at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto on Thursday. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET, and the game can be viewed on ESPN+.

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Score Prediction

Maple Leafs 5, Capitals 3

Best Bet

Maple Leafs -154
Maple Leafs -1.5 (+160)
Over 6.5 (-115)

WASHINGTON CAPITALS vs. TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS PREDICTIONS

The Capitals haven't yet clinched a postseason spot just yet, but with 92 points, 15 clear of the New York Islanders, it's nearly a certainty that Washington will be in the playoffs with just nine games remaining. In fact, a win here will push them nearly to the finish line of a clinch.

Washington has won four consecutive games, including victories over the Tampa Bay Lightning, Pittsburgh Penguins and Boston Bruins, outscoring the opposition 23-10 during the win streak. The Caps have scored four or more goals in each of the outings, hitting the OVER at a 3-0-1 clip.

The Maple Leafs are coming off a disappointing 5-2 loss at home against the Sabres, it's third setback in three tries against Buffalo in the past three tries just since March 2. The Leafs are still 7-1-1 in the past nine games dating back to March 27, averaging 5.0 goals per game across the nine-game span.

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WASHINGTON CAPITALS vs. TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS BETTING ODDS

Capitals +140
Maple Leafs -154
Capitals +1.5 (-179)
Maple Leafs -1.5 (+160)
Over 6.5 (-115)
Under 7 (-152)

More Odds | Futures Odds

WASHINGTON CAPITALS vs. TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS BETTING RESOURCES

  • Date: Thursday, April 14, 2022
  • Matchup: Metropolitan vs. Atlantic
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena
  • Location: Toronto, Ont.
  • TV-Time: ESPN+, 7:00 p.m. ET

WASHINGTON CAPITALS BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 41-22-10
  • ATS: 38-35
  • O/U: 42-28-3

The Capitals are inching closer to a playoff spot, and if the season ended today, Washington would be matched up with the Florida Panthers. The Caps are coming off a 9-2 win over the Philadelphia Flyers last time out, with the team's previous high being seven goals (accomplished twice).

Not only has Washington won four in a row, it is 10-1 in the past 11 games against Eastern Conference clubs, and 5-1 in the past six as an underdog. The Caps are also 39-19 in the past 58 on the road, while going 4-1 in the past five as a road 'dog, too.

In terms of totals, the OVER is 20-7-1 in the past 28 games overall, while cashing in seven straight on the road. The OVER is 7-0-1 in the past eight as an underdog, and 5-0 in the past five as a road 'dog, too. The OVER is 8-2-1 in the past 11 against winning teams, as well.

TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 47-20-6
  • ATS: 32-41
  • O/U: 41-28-4

The Leafs were oh-so-disappointing last time out against the Sabres, but they're still 35-16 in the past 51 games at home, and 23-8 in the past 31 as a home favorite. The Leafs are 25-10 in the past 35 games against the Eastern Conference, too.

In addition, Toronto has fared better against the good teams, winning four of the pat five against winning teams, while winning 14 of the past 17 games against opponents from the Metropolitan Division. They're also 24-9 in the past 33 when playing on a day of rest.

For totals, the OVER is 34-13-4 in the past 51 games overall, while cashing at a 20-8-3 clip in the past 31 as a favorite. The OVER is 4-1-2 in the past seven against the Eastern Conference, although the UNDER is 4-1-2 in the past seven at home. The OVER is 16-5-3 in the past 24 against winning teams, but the UNDER is 3-1-2 in the past six against winning sides.

The Capitals have beaten the Maple Leafs in 16 of the past 23 tries. (Getty Images)

WASHINGTON CAPITALS vs. TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS BETTING CONCLUSION

The Capitals have been red-hot, and they have dominated the Maple Leafs in recent seasons. No win is a certainly for the Maple Leafs after losing three in a row to the last-place Buffalo Sabres in just over a calendar month. It's more hand-wringing and worry for Leafs fans heading into the postseason for a team which hasn't won a playoff series since 2004. To be fair, however, these Leafs have actually risen to the occasion against the good teams, while playing down to the competition.

Look for Toronto to bounce back against Washington, a team which has been playing very well lately. However, despite Toronto's loss to Buffalo, the Leafs are still a very impressive 7-1-1, and it has arguably the most dominant player since the All-Star break in superstar Auston Matthews. Look for a higher-scoring Leafs win at home.

WASHINGTON CAPITALS vs. TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS BETTING TRENDS

  • Capitals are 4-0 in the past four games overall.
  • Capitals are 39-19 in the past 58 road games.
  • Capitals are 4-1 in the past five as a road 'dog.
  • Capitals are 5-1 in the past six as an underdog.
  • Capitals are 10-1 in the past 11 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Maple Leafs are 45-21 in the past 66 games overall.
  • Maple Leafs are 42-17 in the past 59 as a favorite.
  • Maple Leafs are 35-16 in the past 51 home games.
  • Maple Leafs are 23-8 in the past 31 as a home favorite.
  • Maple Leafs are 4-1 in the past five vs. winning teams.
  • Maple Leafs are 14-3 in the past 17 vs. Metropolitan Division.
  • Maple Leafs are 25-10 in the past 35 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • OVER is 20-7-1 in the past 28 overall for the Capitals.
  • OVER is 7-0 in the past seven games for the Capitals.
  • OVER is 7-0-1 in the past eight as an underdog for the Caps.
  • OVER is 5-0 in the past five as a road underdog for the Caps.
  • OVER is 8-2-1 in the past 11 vs. winning teams for the Caps.
  • OVER is 34-13-4 in the past 51 overall for the Maple Leafs.
  • OVER is 20-8-3 in the past 31 as a favorite for the Leafs.
  • UNDER is 4-1-2 in the past seven home games for the Leafs.
  • OVER is 16-5-3 in the past 24 against winning teams for the Leafs.
  • Capitals are 16-7 in the past 23 vs. Maple Leafs.
  • Capitals are 5-1 in the past six meeting in Toronto.
  • OVER is 4-1 in the past five meetings.
  • OVER is 9-3 in the past 12 meetings in Toronto.

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Daniel Dobish

Daniel Dobish

Dan is a handicapper and sports betting expert for VegasInsider with years of experience writing for a number of top publications in the industry. More from Daniel Dobish
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