Premier League Matchday 32 Picks, Predictions, Odds
We're back with our English Premier League (EPL) best bets and predictions for fixtures on Matchday 32. Matches are set to begin on Friday, April 8 and end on Sunday, April 10th. Check out the top bets, odds and betting trends to consider for the weekend matches.
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EVERTON vs. MANCHESTER UNITED
- Date: Saturday, Apr. 9
- Time: 7:30 a.m. ET
- Venue: Goodison Park
- Location: Liverpool, England
BTS - Yes (-140)
Bruno Fernandes Anytime Goal (+160)
Manchester United 30 Minute ML (+215)
The draw should be considered heavily here, hitting in four of the last five league meetings between the two clubs. Everton is in a downfall however, and Manchester United is coming off a match in which they probably feel they should've won. The BTS hitting isn't a bad start here, as Manchester United has seen it hit in 19 of its last 30 league matches along with its last six overall when playing on the road. The BTS has also hit in five straight league meetings.
The BTS is the best bet on the board, but there are a few props to consider. Fernandes has scored a goal in three of his last four matches when facing Everton and has solid plus-value. Manchester United has also won the first half in three straight league matches when facing Everton, so the 30 Minute moneyline at +215 is worth a shot if Man U can continue that trend by scoring early in the match.
ARSENAL vs. BRIGHTON
- Date: Saturday, Apr. 9
- Time: 10:00 a.m. ET
- Venue: Emirates Stadium
- Location: London, England
BTS - No (-125)
Under 2.5 (-125)
Arsenal ML (-150)
Arsenal Clean Sheet (+115)
Bukayo Saka Anytime Goal (+175)
There are a lot of trends pointing to a shutout here, so if cozy perhaps taking Arsenal winning to nil is a best bet on the board entering. The safest bet is the BTS failing however, something that has hit in three straight league meetings. Also, the BTS has failed to hit in 19 of Arsenal's last 29 league matches along with seven of Brighton's last eight overall.
Brighton has lost three of four league matches by a score of 2-0 when playing as the underdog, while also seeing the Under 2.5 market hit in nine of 10 league matches in the same role. The Under 2.5 has hit in three straight league meetings, while Arsenal has won seven of eight matches when playing during the daytime on a Saturday. Bukayo Saka has scored in four straight on the day as well, but the best bet in the BTS failing while the value lies with the home team keeping a clean sheet.
ASTON VILLA vs. TOTTENHAM
- Date: Saturday, Apr. 9
- Time: 12:30 p.m. ET
- Venue: Villa Park
- Location: Birmingham, England
Son Heung-Min Anytime Goal (+140)
Philippe Coutinho Anytime Goal (+240)
Over 2.5 (-120)
The Over 2.5 market should hit here, in a match between solid scoring clubs with a combined O/U of 36-24 favoring the Over 2.5. For cheap minus-value, that is the best bet on the board. However, the player props are a bit intriguing in what should be a match that features goal scoring. The Over 2.5 has hit in four of the last five league meetings. Also, the BTS has hit in four of five league matches between both clubs - so its safe to say player prop betting is not a bad thought here.
Looking deeper, Son hit for us last week and enters Matchday 32 scoring in four of his last five league matches when Tottenham is the favorite. Philippe Coutinho has also scored a goal in five straight league matches when playing at night. Both feature solid plus-value to test if you are on board with the goals to be scored trends that seem to be consistent hits when these two teams square off.
LEICESTER vs. CRYSTAL PALCE
- Date: Sunday, Apr. 10
- Time: 9:00 a.m. ET
- Venue: King Power Stadium
- Location: Leicester, England
Over 2.5 (+100)
BTS - Yes (-150)
James Maddison Anytime Goal (+220)
The BTS has hit in three straight meetings between both clubs, while the Over 2.5 has hit in three of the last four meetings. The Over has plus-value, but take whichever you're comfortable with as the BTS is more expensive. Leicester has seen the BTS hit in 18 of 28 league matches while also seeing the Over 2.5 hit in 17 of 28 league matches, so either is a fair take. Keep in mind with plus-value in the total market, an average of 3.1 goals per game are scored inside King Power. Leicester has also gone Over 2.5 in 10 of 11 league matches when playing as the favorite on a Sunday.
The props aren't too intriguing, but James Maddison has some good odds to test for those with house money or loose change. He has scored a goal in four of his last five league matches when Leicester is the favorite.
MANCHESTER CITY vs. LIVERPOOL
- Date: Saturday, Apr. 10
- Time: 11:30 a.m. ET
- Venue: Etihad Stadium
- Location: Manchester, England
1H Over 1.5 (+150)
Mo Salah Anytime Goal (+180)
Riyad Mahrez Anytime Goal (+160)
There are some pretty straightforward bets to consider here, along with some to test strictly on value. Let's start with the the most common trend in when these powerhouses meet, the Over 2.5. This market has hit in four of the last five league meetings with the BTS failing just one time. Why take Under 2.5 then? Strictly for value, and for those that believe the combined 21-29 BTS record between both clubs favoring the failure will hit. Man City is 10-20 while Liverpool is 11-19 on the BTS this season, so for +120 why not consider it? If you don't like that then go to Over 3.5 at +175 (will get to in a second). But the BTS failing is as common when these teams don't face each other as the BTS hitting is when they do face each other.
The 1H Over 1.5 is the market to consider if on the fence for the goal total. Liverpool has gone Over 2.5 in 19 of 30 league matches while also seeing the 1H Over 1.5 market hit in four of five road matches when playing during the daytime as the underdog. Liverpool has also seen the Over 3.5 market hit in five of six league matches as the underdog. It's hard to expect goals when the BTS failing is so common for these teams this season, so if uneasy on the 1H Over 1.5 or Over 3.5 value, then feel free to try to Under 2.5 at +120.
Some props to consider, especially for those who think goals are inevitable on Sunday, try some plus-value for some of the club's top scorers. Liverpool's Mo Salah has scored in four of five league matches when facing Man City, while City's Riyad Mahrez has scored a goal in five straight league home matches.