Oregon vs. Iowa Predictions, Odds, Preview

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

5 minute read

Mar. 22, 2021

David Schwab
NCAA BK Expert
VegasInsider.com

Oregon vs. Iowa Predictions

Iowa, as the No. 2 seed in the West Region, has been opened as a four-point favorite to get Monday’s tournament action started. The total is set at 147 points for the slated 12:10 p.m. (ET) tip on CBS.

Oregon remains untested in tournament play with Saturday’s matchup against VCU cancelled due to health protocol issues with the Rams. While advancing onto this game is a plus, the layoff could work against the Ducks after bowing out of the Pac-12 Tournament earlier than expected.

Keeping this game closer than four points against one of the best teams left in this tournament is just too tall of a task in my book.

I do see this game going OVER the current total line. Both teams should put on a show that lights up the scoreboard.

• Score Prediction: Iowa 83 Oregon 77
• Best Bets - Side: Iowa -4
• Best Bets - Total: OVER 147

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Oregon vs. Iowa Betting Odds

Line Movements

• Spread: Iowa -4
• Total: 147
• Money-Line: Iowa -180 Oregon +160

Odds to Win NCAA Tournament

• Oregon 50/1
• Iowa 16/1

Odds to Win West Region

• Oregon 16/1
• Iowa 9/2

Odds Subject to Change

Second Round Predictions

Monday's Previews - Mar. 22, 2021 2 vs. 7 1 vs. 8 11 vs. 14 5 vs. 13 1 vs. 8 4 vs. 5 2 vs. 10 3 vs. 6

Handicapping Oregon vs. Iowa

Going back to Oregon’s 10-point loss to rival Oregon State as a 8.5-point favorite in the Pac-12 Tournament, I do question this team’s ability to elevate its game to its highest level against a power like the Hawkeyes. The Ducks are going to need just about every break to go its way on Monday afternoon.

Iowa was not spectacular in its opening round victory against Grand Canyon but it did enough things well to establish itself as a legitimate contender to win the West Region. I am expecting a more complete effort on Monday with the Hawkeyes raising their level of play.

• Region: West
• Matchup: 2 vs. 7
• Venue: Bankers Life Fieldhouse
• Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
• Date: Mar. 22, 2021
• TV-Time: 12:10 p.m. (ET) - CBS

Handicapping Resources: March Madness Central | NCAA Consensus Picks

Betting Stats & Analysis - Oregon Ducks

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

Oregon has won six of its last seven games straight-up and it is 5-1 against the spread in its last six outings. It is also 5-1 ATS in its last six games against a Big Ten team and 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games closing as an underdog.

The total has gone OVER in the Ducks’ last seven games. It went OVER in 17 of their 26 games played this season.

Seed: 7
Conference: Pac-12
Bid: At-large

• SU: 20-6
• ATS: 14-12
• O/U: 17-9

• Current Form (Last 5): 4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS, 5-0 O/U
• Notable Wins: UCLA, Oregon State, Stanford, Colorado

• PS/G: 71.6 (162nd)
• PA/G: 64.9 (49th)
• Off Rtg: 109.6 (38th)
• Def Rtg: 99.3 (148th)

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Betting Stats & Analysis - Iowa Hawkeyes

The Hawkeyes have won nine of their last 11 games SU and they are 20-4 SU in their last 24 games as favorites. They do slip to 0-3-1 ATS in their last four neutral-site games.

The total has stayed UNDER in nine of Iowa’s last 12 games. It has stayed UNDER in five of its last seven Monday games. The total is an even 2-2 in Iowa’s last four games played at a neutral site.

Seed: 2
Conference: Big Ten
Bid: At-large

• SU: 22-8
• ATS: 15-14-1
• O/U: 15-15

• Current Form (Last 5): 4-1 SU, 1-3-1 ATS, 3-2 O/U
• Notable Wins: Wisconsin (x3), Maryland, Ohio State, Rutgers (x2), Purdue

• PS/G: 83.8 (6th)
• PA/G: 72 (228th)
• Off Rtg: 118 (3rd)
• Def Rtg: 101.4 (206th)

Key Players to Watch

Guard Chris Duarte and forward Eugene Omoruyi are each averaging 16.7 points per game this season. Duarte also leads the team in assists (2.3) while shooting 52.4% from the field. Forward Eric Williams Jr. is the team leader in rebounds with 6.1 a game.

Big Ten Player of the Year Luka Garza led all scorers in Saturday’s win with 24 points. Guard Joe Wieskamp was second on the list for the Hawkeyes with 16 points while adding eight rebounds and five assists. Forward Keegan Murray added 13 points off the bench.

• OREG - Chris Duarte (16.7 PPG, 4.7 RPG)
• OREG - Eugene Omoruyi (16.7 PPG, 5.2 RPG)

• IOWA - Luka Garza (23.7 PPG, 8.7 RPG)
• IOWA - Joe Wieskamp (14.8 PPG, 6.7 RPG)

2021 March Madness Tournament Team Results

The Ducks’ opening round matchup against VCU was forfeited by the Rams due to health protocols. The Hawkeyes failed to cover as 13.5-point favorites in Saturday’s 86-74 victory against Grand Canyon. The total went OVER the closing 144.5-point line.

March Madness Records & Trends

Oregon Ducks

• All-Time Record: 25-15
• Last Appearance: 2019
• Deepest Run: Final Four (2017) - also 1939 champion

-- Oregon has reached the Sweet 16 in three straight NCAA Tournament appearances.
-- Oregon has won nine of its last 12 NCAA Tournament games.
-- Oregon has been eliminated by an ACC school in two straight NCAA Tournament appearances.
-- Oregon has covered the spread in five of its last six games.
-- Oregon has gone OVER the point total in seven straight games.

Iowa Hawkeyes

• All-Time Record: 31-28
• Last Appearance: 2019
• Deepest Run: Final Four (1980)

-- Iowa has failed to reach the Sweet 16 in seven straight NCAA Tournament appearances.
-- Iowa has lost seven of its last 11 NCAA Tournament games.
-- Iowa has failed to cover the spread in five of its last eight games.

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