LSU vs. Michigan Predictions, Odds, Preview

Mar. 22, 2021
David Schwab
NCAA BK Expert

LSU vs. Michigan Predictions

Michigan gets the nod in Monday’s second-round East Region showdown as a five-point favorite. With the tip-off set for 7:10 p.m. (ET) on CBS, the total line for this SEC vs. Big Ten clash is set at 149 points.

I went against LSU in its tournament opener against St. Bonaventure and paid the price. The Tigers looked sharp in that 15-point romp. Stepping up their game against the Big Ten regular season champs will be the ultimate test for this team.

I do think that LSU is up for the challenge, but I also see its tournament run coming to an end. Take Michigan straight-up and take the Tigers to cover against the spread.

I'm much more confident in betting the total to go OVER with each of these offensive-minded teams staying true to its high-scoring nature.

  • Score Prediction: Michigan 80 LSU 77
  • Best Bets - Side: LSU +5
  • Best Bets - Total: OVER 149

No. 8 LSU vs. No. 1 Michigan Consensus Picks

The college basketball handicapping stable is currently showing a slight edge to LSU as an underdog against Michigan in the East Region.

Tigers: 4
Wolverines: 3
Under: 2

Picks Subject to Change

Be sure to check expert picks on the Wolverines and Tigers!

LSU vs. Michigan Betting Trends

As of Monday afternoon, the betting public is leaning to LSU on both the point-spread (+5), but the money-line is nearly split (LSU +180), plus the 'over' (70%) is receiving extra attention too at 148.5 points.

LSU Tigers vs. Michigan Wolverines
NCAA Tournament - Betting Trend Percentages
Teams Side Money O/U
LSU 66%  51%  70% 
Michigan 34%  49%  30% 

Trends and Odds Subject to Change

The Betting Trend Movements can be viewed for this 1 vs. 8 matchup in the East Region for Monday.

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LSU vs. Michigan Betting Odds

Line Movements

  • Spread: Michigan -5
  • Total: 149
  • Money-Line: Michigan -200 LSU +175

Odds to Win NCAA Tournament

Odds to Win East Region

Odds Subject to Change

Second Round Predictions

Monday's Previews - Mar. 22, 2021

Handicapping LSU vs. Michigan

The Tigers have been able to average more than 82 points a game this season. They jumped out to a nine-point lead at the half of Saturday’s game and never took their foot off the gas.

Trying to slow down Michigan is just too tall of a task so look for LSU to simply try and outscore its opponent.

The Wolverines came into this tournament with something to prove after losing to Ohio State as five-point favorites in the Big Ten Tournament. They did not play their best game of the season in this tournament’s opener, but still posted a comfortable victory against No. 16 Texas Southern.

Michigan did get the point across that this is the team to beat in the East Region.

  • Region: East
  • Matchup: 1 vs. 8
  • Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium
  • Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Date: Mar. 22, 2021
  • TV-Time: 7:10 p.m. (ET) - CBS

Handicapping Resources: March Madness Central | NCAA Consensus Picks

Betting Stats & Analysis - LSU Tigers

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

The Tigers are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last six games. They are 4-2 ATS in their last six games against a Big Ten team. However, they are just 5-12 SU in their last 17 games closing as underdogs.

The total has gone OVER in 17 of 28 games this season. It has also gone OVER in three of LSU’s last five neutral-site games.

Seed: 8
Conference: SEC
Bid: At-large

  • SU: 19-9
  • ATS: 15-13
  • O/U: 17-11
  • Current Form (Last 5): 4-1 SU, 5-0 ATS, 3-2 O/U
  • Notable Wins: Arkansas, Tennessee, Missouri
  • PS/G: 81.9 (9th)
  • PA/G: 74.8 (282nd)
  • Off Rtg: 112.2 (19th)
  • Def Rtg: 102.5 (241st)

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Betting Stats & Analysis - Michigan Wolverines

Michigan has a 13-6 record ATS over its last 19 games but it falls to 2-5 ATS in its last seven games played in March. It went 20-4 SU in its last 24 games closing as a favorite.

The total has stayed UNDER in 12 of the Wolverines’ last 16 games. However, it has gone OVER in six of their last eight matchups against a team from the SEC.

Seed: 1
Conference: Big Ten
Bid: At-large

  • SU: 21-4
  • ATS: 17-8
  • O/U: 10-15
  • Current Form (Last 5): 3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS, 2-3 O/U
  • Notable Wins: Maryland (x2), Iowa, Ohio State, Rutgers, Purdue
  • PS/G: 76.5 (61st)
  • PA/G: 65.4 (53rd)
  • Off Rtg: 112.3 (18th)
  • Def Rtg: 96 (70th)

Key Players to Watch

Guard Cameron Thomas had the hottest hand of any player on the court in Saturday’s win with 27 points. Guard Audre Hyatt and forwards’ Trendon Watford and Darius Days each posted a double-double that added up to a combined 37 points and 32 rebounds.

Guard Mike Smith scored 18 points, and center Hunter Dickinson scored 16 points to pace Saturday’s win. Guard Franz Wagner ended that game with nine points, nine rebounds and six assists.

  • LSU - Cam Thomas (22.8 PPG)
  • LSU - Trendon Watford (16.5 PPG, 7.5 RPG)
  • MICH - Hunter Dickinson (14.3 PPG, 7.4 RPG)
  • MICH - Franz Wagner (12.7 PPG, 6.3 RPG)

2021 March Madness Tournament Team Results

The Tigers closed as slight two-point favorites in their 76-61 opening round win against St. Bonaventure. The total in that game stayed UNDER 144 points.

Michigan rolled past Texas Southern 82-66 on Saturday but it could not cover the closing 24.5-point spread. The total went OVER 141.5 points.

March Madness Records & Trends

LSU Tigers

  • All-Time Record: 27-25
  • Last Appearance: 2019
  • Deepest Run: Final Four (2006)

-- LSU has won eight of its last 12 NCAA Tournament games.
-- LSU has seen three of its last five NCAA Tournament games decided by five points or less.
-- LSU has failed to reach the Sweet 16 in three straight NCAA Tournament appearances after reaching the Sweet 16 the NCAA Tournament appearance prior.
-- LSU has covered the spread in six straight games.

Michigan Wolverines

  • All-Time Record: 62-28
  • Last Appearance: 2019
  • Deepest Run: Champion (1989)

-- Michigan has reached the Sweet 16 in five of its last six NCAA Tournament appearances.
-- Michigan has reached the National Championship in two of its last six NCAA Tournament appearances.
-- Michigan has won 14 of its last 19 NCAA Tournament games.

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