Ohio vs. Creighton Predictions, Odds, Preview

Mar. 22, 2021
David Schwab
NCAA BK Expert

Ohio vs. Creighton Predictions

Creighton comes into tonight's game as a 5.5-point favorite. Tip-off on Monday is set for 6:10 p.m. (ET) on TNT with the total line set at 149 points for this second round West Region matchup.

The MAC’s Ohio Bobcats were another bracket buster with their huge upset over No. 4 Virginia on Saturday night and they are more than capable of winning Monday’s game to advance to the Sweet 16. Creighton is a worthy opponent out of the Big East but it barely squeezed by No. 12 UC-Santa Barbara in its opening round game.

The Bluejays may get the straight-up win, but I'm going with the Bobcats and the points. I'm taking the UNDER in this contest with both teams advancing to this game behind some stout defensive play.

  • Score Prediction: Creighton 74 Ohio 72
  • Best Bets - Side: Ohio +5.5
  • Best Bets - Total: UNDER 149

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Ohio vs. Creighton Betting Odds

Line Movements

  • Spread: Creighton -5.5
  • Total: 149
  • Money-Line: Creighton -220 Ohio +190

Odds to Win NCAA Tournament

Odds to Win West Region

Odds Subject to Change

Second Round Predictions

Monday's Previews - Mar. 22, 2021

Handicapping Ohio vs. Creighton

Ohio has just one loss since late January (SU and ATS) over the course of 11 games. While the Bobcats have scored 80 points or more in eight of those 11 contests, they were able to grind out the win over Virginia with just 62 points. In an early season meeting against Illinois, they hung tough in a 77-75 loss as 16-point underdogs.

The Bluejays were one of the best teams in the Big East this season but a 24-point loss to Georgetown in the conference tournament final heightened the level of concern with this team. Saturday’s nail-biter against a No. 12 seed did not help the cause. Creighton is definitely on upset alert in this matchup.

  • Region: West
  • Matchup: 5 vs. 13
  • Venue: Hinkle Fieldhouse
  • Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Date: Mar. 22, 2021
  • TV-Time: 6:10 p.m. (ET) - TNT

Handicapping Resources: March Madness Central | NCAA Consensus Picks

Betting Stats & Analysis - Ohio Bobcats

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

The Bobcats are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last seven games in March and they have won five of their last seven Monday games SU. They have also won their last five games SU when closing as underdogs.

The total has stayed UNDER in four of Ohio’s last five games. Yet, it has gone OVER in seven of its last 10 games against a Big East team. The total has stayed UNDER in four of its last six neutral-site games.

Seed: 13
Conference: MAC
Bid: Auto

  • SU: 17-7
  • ATS: 15-8
  • O/U: 13-10
  • Current Form (Last 5): 4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS, 1-4 O/U
  • Notable Wins: Virginia
  • PS/G: 80.1 (22nd)
  • PA/G: 72.6 (244th)
  • Off Rtg: 112 (21st)
  • Def Rtg: 101.6 (207th)

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Betting Stats & Analysis - Creighton Bluejays

Creighton is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games and 5-1 SU in its last six games against the MAC. It is 20-6 ATS in its last 26 games closing as a favorite and 2-2 ATS in its last four games at a neutral site.

The total has stayed UNDER in four of the Bluejays’ last six games. It has gone OVER in five of their last six games played on a Monday.

Seed: 5
Conference: Big East
Bid: At-large

  • SU: 21-8
  • ATS: 13-16
  • O/U: 13-15-1
  • Current Form (Last 5): 4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS, 2-3 O/U
  • Notable Wins: UConn (x3), Villanova
  • PS/G: 76.5 (60th)
  • PA/G: 68.1 (111th)
  • Off Rtg: 109.5 (42nd)
  • Def Rtg: 97.4 (102nd)

Key Players to Watch

Forward Ben Vander Plas led all scorers in Saturday’s win with 17 points. He shot 7-for-15 from the field. Guard Jason Preston posted a double-double to help pace the win with 11 points and 13 rebounds.

Guard Marcus Zegarowski led the way for the Bluejays in their tournament opener with a game-high 17 points. He shot 50% from three-point range (3-for-6). Forward Christian Bishop scored 15 points with 11 rebounds to post a double-double for Creighton.

  • OHIO - Dwight Wilson (14.6 PPG, 7.5 RPG)
  • OHIO - Ben Vander Plas (13 PPG, 5.6 RPG)
  • CRE - Marcus Zegarowski (15.6 PPG, 4.5 APG)
  • CRE - Denzel Mahoney (12.5 PPG, 4.1 RPG)

2021 March Madness Tournament Team Results

The Bobcats closed as seven-point underdogs in Saturday’s 62-58 SU win. The total stayed UNDER the 131-point line.

Creighton snuck past UC Santa Barbara 63-62 in the opening round as a 7.5-point favorite. Against a closing total line of 137.5 points the winning play was the UNDER.

March Madness Records & Trends

Ohio Bobcats

  • All-Time Record: 8-14
  • Last Appearance: 2012
  • Deepest Run: Sweet 16 (2012)

-- Ohio has won four of its last six NCAA Tournament games.
-- Ohio has won at least one game in four of its last six NCAA Tournament appearances.
-- Ohio has covered the spread in five of its last six games when playing on a neutral court.
-- Ohio has covered the spread in 11 of its last 13 games.
-- Ohio has gone UNDER the point total in four of its last five games.

Creighton Bluejays

  • All-Time Record: 12-22
  • Last Appearance: 2018
  • Deepest Run: Sweet 16 (2014)

-- Creighton has lost three of its last four NCAA Tournament games, all by a double-digit point total.
-- Creighton has failed to win two or more games in a NCAA Tournament in 17 straight NCAA Tournament appearances.

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