Colorado vs. FSU Predictions, Odds, Preview

Mar. 22, 2021
Thom Cunningham
NCAA BK Expert

Colorado vs. Florida State Predictions

Colorado's defensive play should be the wager here, so feel free to lean UNDER the point total. The Buffs have gone UNDER the point total 18 times this season, and as the most experienced team expect them to control the pace much better. Colorado is just 1-4 on the ATS as the underdog though.

Florida State has failed to cover the spread in 11 of 21 games as the favorite however, two being a push. FSU has also failed to cover the spread in three straight games when playing on a neutral court, pushing once.

A push actually seems likely here, a possible two-point win for FSU. However, Colorado is better physically and has more experience playing together. So if push comes to shove give me the Buffaloes, although FSU is a Final Four talent team so the point total market is my suggestion here.

  • Score Prediction: Colorado 69 FSU 68
  • Best Bets - Side: Colorado +2
  • Best Bets - Total: UNDER 138.5

No. 5 Colorado vs. No. 4 Florida State Consensus Picks

The college basketball handicapping stable is currently showing a split between Florida State and Colorado in the East Region.

Seminoles: 4
Buffaloes: 4

Picks Subject to Change

Be sure to check expert picks on the Seminoles and Buffaloes!

Colorado vs. Florida State Betting Trends

As of Monday afternoon, the betting public is leaning to Florida State on both the point-spread (-1.5) and the money-line (-125), plus the 'over' (78%) is receiving extra attention too at 140.5 points.

Colorado Buffaloes vs. Florida State Seminoles
NCAA Tournament - Betting Trend Percentages
Teams Side Money O/U
Colorado 39%  33%  78% 
Florida State 61%  67%  22% 

Trends and Odds Subject to Change

The Betting Trend Movements can be viewed for this 4 vs. 5 matchup in the East Region for Monday.

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Colorado vs. FSU Betting Odds

Line Movements

  • Spread: Florida State -1.5
  • Total: 138.5
  • Money-Line: Florida State -125 Colorado +105

Odds to Win NCAA Tournament

Odds to Win East Region

Odds Subject to Change

Second Round Predictions

Monday's Previews - Mar. 22, 2021

Handicapping Colorado vs. FSU

FSU has gone UNDER the point total in two of its last three games, along with failing to cover the spread in five of its last six games. FSU has been the favorite 14 straight games including the one against Colorado, failing to cover eight of the last 11. Colorado has covered in five of seven games.

The Buffs have gone OVER in three straight games, but are due to go UNDER. Prior to the three games going OVER, Colorado went UNDER in eight of nine games.

  • Region: East
  • Matchup: 4 vs. 5
  • Venue: Indiana Farmers Coliseum
  • Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Date: Mar. 22, 2021
  • TV-Time: 7:45 p.m. (ET) - TBS

Handicapping Resources: March Madness Central | NCAA Consensus Picks

Betting Stats & Analysis - Colorado Buffaloes

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

Don't expect Colorado to put up 96 like it did against Georgetown, as FSU is much better all-around. It was the first time Colorado scored 80 points since Feb. 25, something Colorado has only done five times over its last 23 games.

Also note this is the best free-throw shooting team in the nation, which could help the Buffs close out a close game. The Buffs have won seven of their last eight games, covering five and going UNDER in eight of 12.

Seed: 5
Conference: Pac-12
Bid: At-large

  • SU: 23-8
  • ATS: 16-9
  • O/U: 13-18
  • Current Form (Last 5): 4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS, 3-2 O/U
  • Notable Wins: USC (x3), Oregon, UCLA, Oregon State
  • PS/G: 73.8 (109th)
  • PA/G: 63.6 (29th)
  • Off Rtg: 110.9 (27th)
  • Def Rtg: 95.5 (64th)

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Betting Stats & Analysis - FSU Seminoles

FSU has been a bit rocky lately, escaping from UNC-Greensboro but failing to cover its second straight game. FSU saw a 10 game stretch in which it covered the spread nine times. Since, the Seminoles have covered the spread three times over its last six games. They proved they can win a defensive battle against UNCG though, as this game against Colorado will likely be similar.

FSU's defense isn't elite, but its also not bad. Despite giving up points they do things well on the defensive side of the court. FSU blocks 5.2 shots per game which ranks 11th, while also averaging 7.2 steals per game which ranks 87th.

Seed: 4
Conference: ACC
Bid: At-large

  • SU: 17-6
  • ATS: 11-10-2
  • O/U: 14-8-1
  • Current Form (Last 5): 3-2 SU, 1-3-1 ATS, 3-2 O/U
  • Notable Wins: UNC, Virginia, Clemson, Florida, Georgia Tech
  • PS/G: 78.3 (37th)
  • PA/G: 69.6 (159th)
  • Off Rtg: 110.2 (34th)
  • Def Rtg: 98 (119th)

Key Players to Watch

McKinley Wright IV will go down as one of the greatest Colorado Buffaloes of all-time. Jeriah Horne provides a solid outside shot and rebounds, while Evan Battey (AKA: 'The Mayor of Boulder' as they call him in CU) provides heart and energy as a bruising big man.

FSU has talent all over the court. From Raiquan Gray to M.J. Walker, there are plenty of scoring options for FSU. Scottie Barnes is the top name to watch, a freshman but very critical to dictating FSU's pace of play.

  • CU - McKinley Wright IV (15.4 PPG, 4.4 RPG, 5.8 APG)
  • CU - Jeriah Horne (11.1 PPG, 5.8 RPG)
  • FSU - Raiquan Gray (12.2 PPG, 6.6 RPG)
  • FSU - Scottie Barnes (10.6 PPG, 4.3 RPG, 4.1 APG)

2021 March Madness Tournament Team Results

Both schools won their opening round games, although FSU didn't cover. Colorado easily covered and went OVER while almost touching 100 points against Georgetown. FSU went UNDER in a 64-54 win over UNC-Greensboro in which the Seminoles were -13.5-point favorites.

March Madness Records & Trends

Colorado Buffaloes

  • All-Time Record: 11-16
  • Last Appearance: 2016
  • Deepest Run: Sweet 16 (2012)

-- Colorado has lost four of its last five NCAA Tournament games.
-- Colorado has failed to win two or more games in a NCAA Tournament in nine straight NCAA Tournament appearances.
-- Colorado has covered the spread in five of its last seven games.

FSU Seminoles

  • All-Time Record: 22-17
  • Last Appearance: 2019
  • Deepest Run: Final Runner-up (1972)

-- FSU has won six of its last eight NCAA Tournament games.
-- FSU has failed to scored 59 points or more in three of its last four NCAA Tournament games in which they are eliminated in.
-- FSU has reached the Sweet 16 in three of its last five NCAA Tournament appearances.
-- FSU has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games.
-- FSU has gone OVER the point total in seven of its last 10 games.

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