Mar. 20, 2021
Ohio vs. Virginia Predictions
Virginia is favored by 7.5 points for Saturday’s 7:15 p.m. start on truTV. The betting line for the total has been opened at 131 points.
Ohio brings a head of steam into Saturday’s opening round matchup with just one loss (straight-up and against the spread) in its last 10 games. The Mid-American Tournament Champions are 16-7 SU overall. The Bobcats got hot at the right time of the year which could be problematic for Virginia.
After dropping out of the ACC Tournament due to health protocols, the Cavaliers were not even sure they would be playing this game. This high level of confusion combined with Ohio’s momentum tips the scales towards the Bobcats plus the 7.5 points.
Even with Ohio averaging more than 80 points per game, my lean is towards the UNDER on the total line. Virginia can still play defense and that may be the only way to get a SU win on Saturday.
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Ohio vs. Virginia Betting Odds
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Odds Subject to Change
First Round Predictions
Handicapping Ohio vs. Virginia
Ohio won its final two conference tournament games against Toledo and Buffalo by a combined 22 points closing as an underdog in each contest. During an earlier six-game winning streak, it won two of those games as an underdog. This team have been resilient and dangerous when getting points this season.
The Cavaliers played like one of the best teams in the nation at times while raising more than a few eyebrows with more than one puzzling setback. They tend to get the benefit of the doubt as recent national champions playing in the ACC. However, coupled with the way its season ended, Virginia remains primed for another early exit from the Big Dance.
Betting Stats & Analysis - Ohio Bobcats
Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)
Ohio has covered ATS in 10 of its last 12 games. It is also a perfect 7-0 ATS in its last seven games against a team from the ACC. It is 5-2 ATS this season when closing as an underdog and 4-1 ATS in five previous neutral-site games.
The total has stayed UNDER in six of the Bobcats’ last nine games. The total went OVER in 13 of 22 games this season.
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Betting Stats & Analysis - Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia has failed to cover in five of its last six games. However, it brings a SU nine-game winning streak in the month of March into Saturday’s contest. It was 1-3 ATS in four previous games at a neutral site this season.
The total has gone OVER in five of the Cavaliers’ last six games. It went OVER in 14 of 24 games this season.
First Round Predictions
Key Players to Watch
Guard Jason Preston leads a group of five different players scoring in double figures with 16.6 PPG. He is shooting 53% from the field and 40.8% from three-point range. Forward Dwight Wilson III is second in points (14.9) and first in rebounds (7.5).
Forward Sam Hauser is scoring 16 points a game with 6.7 rebounds. Forward Jay Huff is adding 13.1 points and a team-high 7.1 rebounds a game. Guard Trey Murphy III (11.3 points) is shooting 50.5% from the field and 42.9% from three-point range.
Head-to-Head - Ohio vs. Virginia
These two teams split a pair of games both SU and ATS in the early 2000’s.
March Madness Records & Trends
-- Ohio has won three of its last five NCAA Tournament games.
-- Virginia has won 10 of its last 13 NCAA Tournament games.