Oregon State vs. Oklahoma State Predictions, Odds, Preview

Mar. 21, 2021
Thom Cunningham
NCAA BK Expert

Oregon State vs. Oklahoma State Predictions

Two of the hottest teams in the country take the court in this one. Oregon State has been a lock to cover the spread this season, along with the point total going OVER. The same can be said about Oklahoma State, only they have the projected No. 1 pick in the NBA Draft in Cade Cunningham.

Although Oregon State has been impressive this season, and coming from someone who thought they were tournament-good prior to the Pac-12 Tournament, this might be the end for the Beavers. The conviction lie with talent in this one, which goes to Oklahoma State. The Beavers are coached well, and have a deadly one-two punch at guard, but bet on Cunningham and Co. to reach the Sweet 16 and cover.

If you fancy the Beavers, or unsure on the spread between two schools that cover well, then take the common denominator a the point total going OVER. The schools have combined for over 30 games in which the total went OVER. The point total market is a better bet of the two.

  • Score Prediction: Oklahoma State 76 Oregon State 68
  • Best Bets - Side: Oklahoma State -5.5
  • Best Bets - Total: OVER 141.5

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Oregon State vs,. Oklahoma State Betting Odds

  • Spread: Oklahoma State -5.5
  • Total: 141.5
  • Money-Line: Oklahoma State -240 Oregon State +200

Odds to Win NCAA Tournament

Odds to Win Midwest Region

Odds Subject to Change

Second Round Predictions

Sunday's Previews - Mar. 21, 2021

Handicapping Oregon State vs. Oklahoma State

The point total market is much better to consider, as the schools are expected to go OVER. The spread market is a bit tricky, as both schools are very good at covering the spread. Oklahoma State has gone OVER the point total in seven of its last nine games, while Oregon State has gone OVER the point total in six of its last seven games.

  • Region: Midwest
  • Matchup: 4 vs. 12
  • Venue: Hinke Fieldhouse
  • Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Date: Mar. 21, 2021
  • TV-Time: 9:40 p.m. (ET) - TBS

Handicapping Resources: March Madness Central | NCAA Consensus Picks

Betting Stats & Analysis - Oregon State Beavers

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

Although many say Oregon State is just catching fire, they are much better than the credit given to them. They have two top scorers, a good coach and a true center down low. They have also covered the spread in seven of its last nine games as the underdog, which they are against Oklahoma State.

There are three things Oregon State does well that has seen them just one game away from a Sweet 16 appearance. They find open shooters (14.9 assists per game ranks 71st nationally), they hit free throws (75.5% ranks 42nd nationally) and they hit three-pointers (35.7% ranks 85th nationally).

Seed: 12
Conference: Pac-12
Bid: Auto

  • SU: 18-12
  • ATS: 19-9-1
  • O/U: 17-12
  • Current Form (Last 5): 4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS, 4-1 O/U
  • Notable Wins: Tennessee, Colorado, Oregon, UCLA, USC
  • PS/G: 70.6 (194th)
  • PA/G: 67.9 (107th)
  • Off Rtg: 106.1 (98th)
  • Def Rtg: 102 (219th)

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Betting Stats & Analysis - Oklahoma State Cowboys

The Cowboys have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games, so the Beavers might be in trouble here. Oklahoma State has only been the favorite once however, over its last nine games. The pressure has never been on them, until the NCAA Tournament started.

They handled it well against a good Liberty team, but Oregon State is much better than the Flames. Oklahoma State doesn't have as good of a free throw percentage as Oregon State, but they get to the line and make more free throws per game than the Beavers do.

Oklahoma State's defense is also better, averaging 7.3 steals per game (ranks 79th in nation) and 4.5 blocker per game (ranks 38th in nation).

Seed: 4
Conference: Big 12
Bid: At-large

  • SU: 21-8
  • ATS: 18-10-1
  • O/U: 17-10-2
  • Current Form (Last 5): 4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS, 3-2 O/U
  • Notable Wins: Baylor, West Virginia (x2), Texas, Texas Tech, Oklahoma (x2), Arkansas
  • PS/G: 76.8 (53rd)
  • PA/G: 72.4 (241st)
  • Off Rtg: 103.2 (149th)
  • Def Rtg: 97.4 (100th)

Key Players to Watch

Ethan Thompson and Jarod Lucas are the one-two punch for this Beavers team. They are as good of a scoring duo as any in the country, still not garnered the national respect they deserve. Big man Roman Silva also gives the Beavers a nice big body to anchor the paint down low.

Cade Cunningham is the obvious name to watch for Oklahoma State, although Isaac Likekele is picking up right where he left off prior to his injury. The stats won't show it, but he is the second-most important player to this Oklahoma State team.

  • ORST - Ethan Thompson (15.3 PPG)
  • ORST - Jarod Lucas (13 PPG)
  • OKST - Cade Cunningham (20 PPG, 6.3 RPG)
  • OKST - Avery Anderson (12 PPG, 4.1 RPG)

2021 NCAA March Madness Tournament Team Results

Both schools covered the spread in their first NCAA Tournament game this year. Despite both schools typically going OVER, both also went UNDER the point total in their last games.

March Madness Records & Trends

Oregon State Beavers

  • All-Time Record: 13-20
  • Last Appearance: 2016
  • Deepest Run: Final Four (1963)

-- Oregon State has lost seven of its last eight NCAA Tournament games
-- Oregon State has covered the spread in four straight games when playing on a neutral court.
-- Oregon State has covered the spread in 11 of its last 12 games.

Oklahoma State Cowboys

  • All-Time Record: 39-27
  • Last Appearance: 207
  • Deepest Run: Final Four (2004) - also 1946 champion

-- Oklahoma State has lost seven of its last nine NCAA Tournament games.
-- Oklahoma State has failed to reach the Sweet 16 in nine of its last 11 NCAA Tournament appearances.
-- Oklahoma State has covered the spread in nine of its last 10 games.

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