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Last Updated Apr 12, 2022, 14:38 PM

Dallas Mavericks vs. Milwaukee Bucks Predictions, Picks, Odds

Nationally televised NBA action will resume on Sunday afternoon with a heavyweight non-conference bout between the Dallas Mavericks and Milwaukee Bucks. Coverage begins from Milwaukee’s Fiserv Forum at 1:00 p.m. ET on ABC.

Score Prediction

Bucks 120, Mavericks 116

Best Bets

Over 227 (-110) at DraftKings

Mavericks vs. Bucks Predictions

After finishing fifth in the West with a record of 42-30 SU last year, Dallas stumbled out to a surprisingly poor start to this season, as the Mavericks opened with a lackluster 16-18 SU and 13-21 ATS skid – with five of those SU losses coming matchups they were favored in.

However, Dallas has admirably ridden the coattail of its defense since that opening skid, considering the Mavericks boast sturdy records of 32-12 SU and 28-16 ATS across their last 44 games – while surrendering just 104.6 DPPG to their opponents during that timeframe.

On the other hand, Milwaukee also posted a surprisingly poor start to the season, as the Bucks kicked things off with a lackluster 6-8 SU and ATS skid – with four of those SU losses coming in matchups they were favored in.

The Bucks have quietly dominated since their opening skid though, considering Milwaukee enters Sunday riding a sturdy 42-21 SU and 31-32 ATS stretch – while scoring 116.6 OPPG and allowing just 112.4 DPPG across that window.

I’ll take the over here, as the Bucks are 9-4 SU and ATS in their last 13 games, while tallying 121.3 OPPG and surrendering 120.3 DPPG during that span – setting the stage for a competitive high-scoring battle against a Mavs’ squad that’s averaging 111.4 OPPG across their latest 5-2 ATS stretch.

Mavericks vs. Bucks Betting Odds

More Odds | Futures Odds

  • Matchup: Southwest vs. Central
  • Date: Sunday, April 3, 2022
  • Venue: Fiserv Forum
  • Location: Milwaukee, WI
  • TV-Time: ABC - 1:00 p.m. ET
  • Injury Report

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Dallas Mavericks Betting Analysis

  • SU: 48-30
  • ATS: 43-34-1
  • O/U: 28-49-1

After another disappointing first-round exit from last year’s playoffs, Dallas briefly kept that same ball rolling with another slow start to this season, as the Mavericks opened with a lackluster 16-18 and 13-21 ATS stretch – with ten of those losses coming by seven points or more.

However, Dallas has recently found success by leaning on defense, considering the Mavericks enter Sunday riding an impressive 32-12 SU run – despite averaging just 108.5 OPPG across that window.

Milwaukee Bucks Betting Analysis

  • SU: 48-29
  • ATS: 37-40
  • O/U: 38-39

After finishing with the best record in the East in two of the last three seasons, Milwaukee’s rough start was somewhat of a head-scratcher, considering the Bucks’ compiled a record of 162-65 SU across the previous three regular seasons, only to open this season with a lackluster 6-8 SU mark.

Milwaukee has played excellent, when healthy, since mid-November though, considering the Bucks boast a sturdy 42-21 SU record across their last 63 games – with more than a quarter of those losses coming in the absence of two-time MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo (6).

The Bucks are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games. (AP)

Mavericks vs. Bucks Head-to-Head

The Mavericks and Bucks split a two-game regular-season set last year, with both matchups staying under the total at an average of 219 PPG. However, the most recent matchup between these teams took place back in December of this season, which resulted in another low-scoring victory for Milwaukee (102-95, U 209).

Key Players to Watch

  • DAL: Luka Doncic - PG (28.3 PPG, 9.1 REB, 8.6 AST)
  • DAL: Jalen Brunson - PG (16.3 PPG, 3.9 REB, 4.9 AST)
  • MIL: Giannis Antetokounmpo - PF (30.1 PPG, 11.7 REB, 5.8 AST)
  • MIL: Khris Middleton - SF (20.3 PPG, 5.5 REB, 5.4 AST)

Mavericks vs. Bucks Conclusion

After an ugly home loss to the Clippers on Friday night (L, 153-119), the Bucks enter Sunday’s contest as short home favorites over the Mavericks at Fiserv Forum – marking the fourth time Dallas has been an underdog across their last ten games.

I’ll take the over here, as the Mavericks are 5-2 SU and ATS in their last seven games, while generating 111.4 OPPG and allowing 110.3 DPPG during that span – setting the stage for a relatively high-scoring battle against a Bucks squad that’s scored 118+ PTS in 15 of their last 19 contests (121.9 OPPG).

Mavericks vs. Bucks Betting Trends

  • The Mavericks are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games.
  • The Bucks are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games.
  • The Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last five matchups against Milwaukee.
  • The total has gone UNDER in four of the last six Bucks' games.
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