Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzlies Predictions, Picks, Odds

Nationally televised NBA action will resume on Monday night with a heavyweight Western Conference bout between the Golden State Warriors and Memphis Grizzlies. Coverage begins from FedExForum at 8:00 p.m. ET on NBA TV.

Score Prediction

Grizzlies 119, Warriors 107

Best Bets

Grizzlies -10.5 (-110) at BetMGM

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Updated on 06/22/2024
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Warriors vs. Grizzlies Predictions

After finishing ninth in the West with a record of 39-33 SU last year, Golden State bounced back with a triumphant start to this season, as the Warriors opened with an impressive 18-3 SU and 15-5-1 ATS run – with 14 of those victories coming by 10+ PTS.

However, Golden State is far less dominant without the combined presence of Steph Curry and Draymond Green, considering the Warriors enter Monday riding a relatively pedestrian 30-23 SU and 21-39-3 ATS stretch – with 17 of those SU losses coming in the absence of Curry or Green.

On the other hand, Memphis stumbled out to a surprisingly slow start to the season, as the Grizzlies opened with a lackluster 9-10 SU and 10-9 ATS skid – with nine of those losses coming by 10+ PTS.

Memphis has arguably been the hottest team in basketball since that opening stretch though, considering the Grizzlies boast impressive records of 43-13 SU and 39-17 ATS across their last 56 games – while generating 117.2 OPPG and allowing just 106.9 DPPG during that timeframe.

I’ll back Memphis here, as the Warriors are 1-4 SU and ATS since Curry’s latest injury, while scoring just 102.8 OPPG and surrendering 107.8 DPPG during that timeframe – setting the stage for a highly unfavorable matchup against a Grizzlies squad that’s posted double-digit victories in five of their last six contests (125.7 OPPG).

Warriors vs. Grizzlies Betting Odds

More Odds | Futures Odds

Warriors vs. Grizzlies Betting Resources

  • Matchup: Pacific vs. Southwest
  • Date: Monday, March 28, 2022
  • Venue: FedExForum
  • Location: Memphis, TN
  • TV-Time: NBA TV - 8:00 p.m. ET
  • Injury Report

Golden State Warriors Betting Analysis

  • SU: 48-26
  • ATS: 36-34-4
  • O/U: 32-40-2

After last year’s lackluster 39-33 SU showing, the Warriors returned seeking imminent revenge to start the new season, as Golden State kicked things off with SU victories in 18 of their first 20 games – with their only two losses across that window coming by slim margins of four points or less.

However, Golden State’s success has primarily come through defense since mid-December, considering the Warriors enter Monday riding a relatively pedestrian 30-23 SU stretch, while scoring just 111.5 OPPG and allowing 107.7 DPPG across that span. The Warriors’ mantra has slightly altered since the return of Klay Thompson though, highlighted by Golden State averaging 115.9 OPPG across their last 26 games.

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Analysis

  • SU: 52-23
  • ATS: 49-26
  • O/U: 39-35-1

After finishing eighth in the West with a record of 38-34 SU last year, Memphis briefly flew under the league’s radar by posting a 9-10 SU start to this season, inevitably getting tagged as underdogs in seven-of-ten matchups to open December – yet quickly stole the spotlight with a trio of upset victories and a 7-3 SU record across that window.

However, Memphis has absolutely dominated since mid-December, considering the Grizzlies enter Monday riding an impressive 43-13 SU and 39-17 ATS stretch – while racking up 117.2 OPPG and allowing just 106.9 DPPG across that window.

The Grizzlies are 5-1 ATS in their last six games. (AP)

Warriors vs. Grizzlies Head-to-Head

The Warriors won two-of-three regular-season matchups against Memphis last year, with all three contests staying under the total at an average of 215.7 PPG – before ultimately meeting again in the Play-In Tournament, which resulted in a thrilling overtime victory for the Grizzlies (117-112 OT, O 221). However, Memphis is 2-1 SU against Golden State this season, with their first meeting staying well under the total at a score of 104-101 OT (U 228), while their latest two affairs both went over at an average of 220.5 PPG.

Key Players to Watch

  • GSW: Klay Thompson - SG (18.7 PPG, 4 REB, 2.7 AST)
  • GSW: Andrew Wiggins - SF (17.1 PPG, 4.5 REB, 2.3 AST)
  • MEM: Ja Morant - PG (27.6 PPG, 5.7 REB, 6.7 AST)
  • MEM: Desmond Bane - SF (18.2 PPG, 3.8 REB, 2.3 AST)

Warriors vs. Grizzlies Betting Conclusion

After stomping the Bucks by 25 PTS at home this past Saturday (W, 127-102), the Grizzlies enter Monday’s contest as generous home favorites over the Warriors at FedExForum – marking the fifth time Golden State has been an underdog across their last nine games.

I’ll back Memphis here, as the Grizzlies are 8-1 SU and 6-3 ATS in their last nine games, while tallying 125.4 OPPG and surrendering just 109.8 DPPG during that span – likely presenting a steep uphill battle for a short-handed Warriors squad that’s averaging 102.8 OPPG across their 1-4 SU skid since Curry’s latest injury.

Warriors vs. Grizzlies Betting Trends

  • The Grizzlies are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.
  • The Warriors are 2-4 ATS in their last six matchups against Memphis.
  • The total has gone UNDER in four of the last fove Grizzlies' games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in seven of the last ten matchups between Golden State and Memphis.
  • The total has gone OVER in three of the last four matchups between Golden State and Memphis.