Last Updated Dec 22, 2021, 10:37 AM

New Orleans Saints vs. New York Jets Predictions, Odds, Picks

Dec. 12, 2021
Joe Hedrick
VI Betting Expert

Week 14 NFL Picks & Predictions

Games Scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET

The New Orleans Saints are headed to East Rutherford, New Jersey to take on the New York Jets. Kick off is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey and can be viewed on CBS.

Score Prediction

Saints 20, Jets 17

Best Bets

Jets +6 (-105) at Treasure Island

New Orleans Saints vs. New York Jets Predictions

The Saints will come into this matchup on a five-game losing streak. Since losing quarterback Jameis Winston to a season ending ACL injury, the Saints have not looked the same. Taysom Hill (QB) is expected to get the start again even after tearing a tendon in his finger this past Sunday. There is some positive news for the Saints as running back Alvin Kamara is expected to return to the lineup.

The New York Jets lost to the Philadelphia Eagles last week 33-18, and have lost four of their past five games. The Jets may be without their top two receivers Corey Davis and Elijah Moore. Davis is out indefinitely for the remainder of the season and Moore is currently listed as questionable. If Davis cannot play the Jets may be in some serious trouble.

This will be a battle between two beat up teams. While I do like the Saints to win the game, the lack of offense should keep the Jets in this one enough to cover.

New Orleans Saints vs. New York Jets Betting Odds

More Odds | Futures Odds

New Orleans Saints vs. New York Jets Betting Resources

  • Matchup: NFC South vs. AFC East
  • Date: Sunday, December 12, 2021
  • Venue: MetLife Stadium
  • Location: East Rutherford, New Jersey
  • TV-Time: CBS - 1:00 p.m. ET

Week 14 NFL Picks & Predictions

Games Scheduled for 4:05 p.m. through 8:20 p.m. ET

New Orleans Saints Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 5-7
  • ATS: 5-7
  • O/U: 6-6
  • ATS - Away: 3-3

During the five-game losing streak the Saints have gone 1-4 ATS. Despite the poor ATS record, the total has gone over in four of their past six games. A large part of this is due to the fact that the defense has allowed 29.6 PPG during those six games. The total for this game is set at 43 with 66% of the bets on the over.

The Saints offense ranks in the bottom half of the league. They are averaging 317.3 YPG (23rd), 202.7 passing YPG (25th), 114.7 rushing YPG, and 22.8 PPG (T-17th). With Kamara set to return and Hill having an injured finger, expect the Saints to rely on the run game. It also helps that the Jets are allowing 133.4 rushing YPG (29th).

New Orleans defense ranks about middle of the pack compared to the rest of the league. Allowing 346.6 total YPG (14th), 250 passing YPG (22nd), 96.4 rushing YPG (5th), and 23 PPG (19th). Expect the Saints to force an interception or two as they come into this game with 14 on the season while the Jets have thrown 20 on the year, 11 coming from Zach Wilson (QB) who will get the start.

New York Jets Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 3-9
  • ATS: 3-9
  • O/U: 7-5
  • ATS - Home: 2-4

New York is 1-4 SU and ATS in their last five games. In the last six games played at MetLife Stadium, the Jets have gone 2-4 ATS while the total has gone over four of the last five games played at home. Bettors have seen profit backing the Jets over with a 7-5 O/U record on the year. It may be tough to cover the over this week with both teams dealing with injuries.

The Jets offense relies on the passing game with an average of 242 passing YPG (12th). The rest of the offense could use some work as they rank 22nd in total YPG (327), 30th in rushing YPG (84.7), and 26th in PPG (18.1). Quarterback Wilson will have to keep the interceptions to a minimum. The Jets will not fare well in this one if they continue the trend of throwing the ball away.

The Jets defense is one of the worst in the league. Headed into Sunday’s game they have allowed 396.8 total YPG (32nd), 263.4 passing YPG (29th), 133.4 rushing YPG (29th), and 30.6 PPG (32nd). Easier said than done, but the Jets have to stop the running game. Hill’s ability to throw the ball will be limited, but he is a mobile quarterback. Keeping Hill inside the pocket and slowing down Kamara will be the key to success for the Jets.

Inside the Stats - New Orleans Saints

  • Record: 5-7
  • Division Standing: 2nd - NFC South
  • Points Scored: 274
  • Points Allowed: 276
  • PS/G: 22.8 (17th)
  • PA/G: 23 (19th)
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