Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee Titans Predictions, Odds, Picks

Dec. 12, 2021
Joe Hedrick
VI Betting Expert
VegasInsider.com

Week 14 NFL Picks & Predictions

Games Scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET

The Jacksonville Jaguars will travel to Nashville to take on the Tennessee Titans in a Week 14 AFC South showdown. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET at Nissan Stadium and can be viewed on CBS.

Score Prediction

Titans 24, Jaguars 14

Best Bets

Titans -8 (-110) at PointsBet

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee Titans Predictions

The Tennessee Titans are coming off a much-needed bye after losing two straight games. The Titans have been without key members of the offense including Derrick Henry (RB), Julio Jones (WR), and A.J. Brown (WR). While Henry and Brown will still remain out, Julio Jones is likely to return to the lineup this week.

The Jaguars have lost four straight games, most recently getting blown out by the L.A Rams, 37-7. The offense has scored just 48 points and Trevor Lawrence (QB) has thrown one touchdown pass during the four-game drought. With just five games remaining on the schedule, this looks like a team ready to wave the white flag.

Titans head coach Mike Vrabel is 3-0 SU and ATS coming off a bye week. With just a two-game lead over Indianapolis in the AFC South, the Titans will look to increase that lead as the Colts are on a bye this week. The last meeting between these two teams was in week five, a game in which the Titans dominated, 37-19.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee Titans Betting Odds

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Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee Titans Betting Resources

  • Matchup: AFC South
  • Date: Sunday, December 12, 2021
  • Venue: Nissan Stadium
  • Location:Nashville, Tennessee
  • TV-Time: CBS - 1:00 p.m. ET

Week 14 NFL Picks & Predictions

Games Scheduled for 4:05 p.m. through 8:20 p.m. ET

Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 2-10
  • ATS: 4-8
  • O/U: 2-10
  • ATS - Away: 2-3

The Jaguars are 4-8 ATS this season and just 5-11 in their last 16. Against the Titans, the Jaguars are 2-7 ATS in the last nine meetings. Jacksonville has hit the over only two times on the season, however, the over has hit in 8 of the last 12 games when playing Tennessee. The total in this one opened at 44 but has since dropped to 43.5.

Jacksonville’s offense has struggled all year, averaging 15 PPG (31st). Lawrence has thrown nine TD’s and 10 interceptions on the season. They rank 25th in total YPG (312.3), 26th in passing yards (201.8), 17th in rushing YPG (110.6), and second to last in turnovers, giving the ball up 21 times (10 INT, 11 FUM). They could see a bit more success through the air as Tennessee is allowing 256.3 passing YPG (26th).

The Jaguar's defense has not looked much better than the offense. Allowing opponents 365.1 total YPG (22nd), 248.3 passing YPG (19th), 116.8 rushing YPG (21st), and 26.7 PPG (29th). The defense could see a bit more success against a beat-up Titans team.

Tennessee Titans Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 8-4
  • ATS: 7-5
  • O/U: 7-5
  • ATS - Home:
  • 3-3

The Titans are 0-3 ATS in their past three games and just 1-2 SU. Chalk it up to injuries, Tennessee has been struggling as of late. There is a sliver of good news for the Titans, they are coming off a bye week and wide receiver Julio Jones could see action again on Sunday. While Jones is not the answer to all of their problems, the Titans will be more than happy to have him back.

Tennesse’s offense has been in shambles without Henry, Jones, and Brown in the lineup. In the four games Henry has been out, Ryan Tannehill has thrown four touchdowns and six interceptions. On the season, Tennessee ranks 5th in rushing YPG (140.8), 23rd in passing YPG (213.4), 16th in total YPG (354.2), and 12th in PPG (25.3). Tannehill’s performance will be the key in this one, he simply has to be better.

The Titans Defense ranks middle of the pack in comparison to the rest of the NFL. They rank 26th in passing YPG (256.3), 6th in rushing yards (97.8), and 2nd in points allowed (24.2). The Titans will need to clean up the passing defense as that is what Jacksonville likes to do. Look for them to put pressure on Lawrence to try and force mistakes. They come into this matchup with 29 sacks on the season (12th).<.p>


Tennessee has failed to cover the spread in three straight games. (AP)

Inside the Stats - Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Record: 2-10
  • Division Standing:
  • Points Scored:
  • Points Allowed:
  • PS/G:
  • PA/G:
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Inside the Stats - Tennessee Titans

  • Record: 8-4
  • Division Standing: 1st - AFC South
  • Points Scored: 304
  • Points Allowed: 290
  • PS/G: 25.3 (12th)
  • PA/G: 24.2 (22nd)

Key Players to Watch

  • JAC: Trevor Lawrence - QB (247/426, 2,514 yards, 9 TD, 10 INT)
  • JAC: James Robinson - RB (137 carries, 678 yards, 7 TD)
  • TEN: Ryan Tannehill - QB (256/389, 2,774 yards, 14 TD, 13 INT)
  • TEN: Kevin Byard - S (64 tackles, 5 INT, FF, FR, TD)

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee Titans Betting Conclusion

The line for this game opened at Tennessee -11 and has since dropped to –8.5. I wouldn’t care to back the Titans double digits in this one, but do like them here at –8.5. The bye week came at a perfect time and we should see an offense with a bit more fire power. As long as Tannehill doesn’t throw four TDs like he did two weeks ago against the Texans, the Titans should take care of business.

Bettors should also keep an eye on Lawrence total passing yards. While he has not performed well on the season, the Titans defense does struggle against the passing game. I by no means think he will have an excellent game, but if the total is around his average of 209.5 yards, it’s definitely a bet to consider.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee Titans Betting Trends

  • Ryan Tannehill has scored a rushing TD in three of his last four home games.
  • Tennessee has covered the spread in five of its last six home games when facing Jacksonville.
  • Tennessee has failed to cover the spread in three straight games.
  • Jacksonville has gone UNDER the point total in seven straight games.
  • Jacksonville has lost 14 straight road games.

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