Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzlies Predictions, Picks, Odds

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The Western Conference Semi-Finals will resume on Tuesday night with a pivotal Game 2 between the Golden State Warriors and Memphis Grizzlies. Coverage begins from FedExForum in Memphis at 9:30 p.m. ET on TNT.

Score Prediction

Warriors 114, Grizzlies 108

Updated on 04/27/2024

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Best Bets

Under 227 (-110) at Caesars

Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzlies Predictions

After finishing ninth in the West with a record of 39-33 SU last year, Golden State immediately bounced back with a triumphant start to this season, as the Warriors opened with a red-hot 18-3 SU and 15-5-1 ATS run, with 14 of those victories coming by 10+ PTS.

However, Golden State was far less dominant in the combined presence of Steph Curry and Draymond Green, considering the Warriors closed the regular season with a relatively pedestrian 35-25 SU and 26-31-3 ATS stretch, with a massive chunk of those SU losses coming in the absence of Curry or Green (19).

On the other hand, Memphis posted a surprisingly mediocre start to the season, as the Grizzlies kicked things off with a lackluster 9-10 SU and 10-9 ATS skid, with nine of those SU losses coming by 10+ PTS.

However, Memphis has arguably been the hottest team in basketball since that opening skid, considering the Grizzlies enter Tuesday’s Game 2 riding an impressive 51-19 SU and 46-23-1 ATS run, while averaging 117.2 OPPG and allowing just 108.3 DPPG during that timeframe.

I’ll take the under here, as Game 1 between these teams cruised over the total with a score of 117-116 (O 224), and while Tuesday’s total is positioned just a few rungs up the ladder (OU 227), I still expect far less scoring in Game 2 between the Warriors’ second-ranked defense (105.8 DPPG, 1.041 DE), and the Grizzlies’ fourth-ranked defense (110 DPPG, 1.052 DE).

Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzlies Betting Odds

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Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzlies Betting Resources

Matchup: Pacific vs. Southwest
Date: Tuesday, May 3, 2022
Venue: FedExForum
Location: Memphis, TN
TV-Time: TNT - 9:30 p.m. ET
Injury Report
NBA Playoff Betting Central

Golden State Warriors Betting Analysis

SU: 57-30
ATS: 44-40-4
O/U: 40-46-2

After last year’s lackluster 39-33 SU showing, Golden State quickly bounced back with a chip on its shoulder to start this season, as the Warriors kicked things off with SU victories in 18 of their first 20 games, with their only two losses across that window coming by slim margins of four points or less.

However, Golden State’s success has primarily come through defense since mid-December, considering the Warriors enter Tuesday’s Game 2 riding a relatively pedestrian 40-26 SU and 29-34-3 ATS stretch, while surrendering just 108.3 DPPG to their opponents during that span.

Golden State’s mantra has slightly altered since the return of Klay Thompson though, highlighted by the Warriors averaging roughly 115.2 OPPG across their 38 matchups since the five-time All-Star’s return.

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Analysis

SU: 60-29
ATS: 56-32-1
O/U: 46-42-1

After finishing eighth in the West with a record of 38-34 SU last year, the Grizzlies briefly flew under the radar with a 9-10 SU start to this season, which inevitably left Memphis tagged as underdogs in seven-of-ten matchups to open December. However, the Grizzlies quickly stole the spotlight with a trio of upset victories and a sturdy 7-3 SU record across that stretch.

Memphis has been scorching hot since that point though, considering the Grizzlies enter Tuesday’s Game 2 riding an impressive 51-19 SU and 46-23-1 ATS stretch, while racking up 117.2 OPPG and allowing just 108.3 DPPG during that timeframe.

**The total has gone UNDER in eight of the last 12 matchups between Memphis and Golden State. (Getty Images)**

Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzlies Head-to-Head

The Warriors won two-of-three regular-season matchups against Memphis last year, with all three contests staying under the total at an average of 215.7 PPG, before ultimately meeting again in the Play-In Tournament, which resulted in a thrilling overtime victory for the Grizzlies (117-112 OT, O 221).

However, Memphis went 3-1 SU against Golden State this season, with two of those meetings staying well under the total at an average of 211.5 PPG, while the other two barely cashed over tickets at an average of 220.5 PPG.

Sunday’s series-opener between these teams was a wild ride though, as Golden State escaped FedExForum with a narrow road victory in Game 1, despite Draymond getting ejected in the closing minutes of the second quarter (117-116, O 224).

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Key Players to Watch

GSW: Klay Thompson - SG (20.4 PPG, 3.9 REB, 2.8 AST)
GSW: Steph Curry - PG (25.5 PPG, 5.2 REB, 6.3 AST)
MEM: Ja Morant - PG (27.4 PPG, 5.7 REB, 6.7 AST)
MEM: Desmond Bane - SF (18.2 PPG, 4.4 REB, 2.7 AST)

Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzlies Betting Conclusion

After taking a 1-0 lead with a thrilling road victory in Memphis this past Sunday (W, 117, 116), the Warriors enter Tuesday’s second matchup as two-point road favorites over the Grizzlies at FedExForum, which is roughly the same number Golden State Was favored by in Game 1 (MEM +2.5).

I’ll take the under here, as the total has gone over in 7-of-12 matchups containing either of these teams since the start of the postseason, which includes the Warriors’ 117-116 victory in Game 1 (O 224); however, the pace of this series should ultimately slow down between a Warriors squad that’s held its opponents to just 105.8 DPPG on the year, and a Grizzlies squad that’s surrendered just 110 DPPG.

Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzlies Betting Trends

The Warriors are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games.
The Grizzlies are 4-2 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone OVER in six of the last seven Warriors' games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last six Grizzlies' games.
The Grizzlies are 5-1 ATS in their last five matchups against Golden State.
The total has gone UNDER in eight of the last 12 matchups between Memphis and Golden State.

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Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson