Oregon State vs. Tennessee Predictions, Odds, Preview

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

5 minute read

Mar. 19, 2021

Dave Schwab
NCAA BK Expert
VegasInsider.com

Oregon State vs. Tennessee Predictions

The SEC’s Tennessee Volunteers have been opened as 7.5-point favorites for Friday’s 4:30 p.m. (ET) tip on TNT. The betting line for this game’s total opened at 131.5 points.

Oregon State earned its ticket to the Big Dance with a postseason run all the way to the Pac-12 Tournament title. With a straight-up 6-1 record over their last seven games, the Beavers add quite a bit of value to this game’s 7.5-point spread. Tennessee may get the SU win but it is going to have to work for it.

With the total line set a bit lower than expected, this game also offers a good opportunity to cash a winning play on the OVER.

• Score Prediction: Tennessee 71 Oregon State 66
• Best Bets - Side: Oregon State +7.5
• Best Bets - Total: OVER 131.5

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Oregon State vs. Tennessee Betting Odds

Line Movements

• Spread: Tennessee -7.5
• Total: 131
• Money-Line: Tennessee -360 Oregon State +300

Odds to Win NCAA Tournament

• Oregon State 80/1
• Tennessee 40/1

Odds to Win Midwest Region

• Oregon State 35/1
• Tennessee 10/1

Odds Subject to Change

First Round Predictions

Friday's Early Action - Mar. 19 7 vs. 10 3 vs. 14 1 vs. 16 6 vs. 11 2 vs. 15 1 vs. 16 8 vs. 9 5 vs. 12

Handicapping Oregon State vs. Tennessee

Oregon State brings a SU 17-12 record into this tournament. It won all three of its Pac-12 Tournament games closing as an underdog. Going back to a mid-February upset against Utah as slight home underdogs, the Beavers have just two SU losses in their last nine contests.

Tennessee bowed out of the SEC Tournament in the semifinals with a five-point loss to Alabama as a 3.5-point underdog. The Volunteers went just 2-3 (SU and ATS) to close out the regular season with bad losses to Kentucky and Auburn as home favorites. From an injury standpoint, forward John Fulkerson remains questionable for Friday.

• Region: Midwest
• Matchup: 5 vs. 12
• Venue: Bankers Life Fieldhouse
• Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
• Date: Mar. 19, 2021
• TV-Time: TNT - 4:30 p.m. (ET)

Handicapping Resources: March Madness Central | NCAA Consensus Picks

Betting Stats & Analysis - Oregon State Beavers

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

Oregon State has gone 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games. However, it is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games against a SEC team. It did go 13-5 ATS this season closing as an underdog.

The total has gone OVER in the Beavers’ last six games. It has also gone OVER in their last seven games played in March.

Seed: 12
Conference: Pac-12
Bid: Auto

• SU: 17-12
• ATS: 18-9-1
• O/U: 17-11

• Current Form (Last 5): 4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS, 5-0 O/U
• Notable Wins: USC, Oregon (x2), Stanford, UCLA, Colorado

• PS/G: 70.7 (195th)
• PA/G: 68.3 (114th)
• Off Rtg: 106.1 (96th)
• Def Rtg: 102.6 (241st)

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Betting Stats & Analysis - Tennessee Volunteers

Tennessee was 14-11 ATS in 25 games this season closing as a favorite. It went 1-1 ATS in two previous neutral-site games and 1-4 ATS in its last five Saturday games.

The total has stayed UNDER in four of the Volunteers’ last six games overall. It has stayed UNDER in four of its last six games against the Pac-12. The total has gone OVER in 10 of Tennessee’s last 12 games played in March.

Seed: 5
Conference: SEC
Bid: At-large

• SU: 18-8
• ATS: 14-12
• O/U: 11-15

• Current Form (Last 5): 3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS, 2-3 O/U
• Notable Wins: Colorado, Missouri, Arkansas, Kansas, Florida (x2)

• PS/G: 72.5 (143rd)
• PA/G: 63.2 (24th)
• Off Rtg: 105.4 (107th)
• Def Rtg: 91.9 (18th)

First Round Predictions

Friday's Late Action - Mar. 19 4 vs. 13 8 vs. 9 2 vs. 15 4 vs. 13 7 vs. 10 6 vs. 11 3 vs. 14 5 vs. 12

Key Players to Watch

Guard Ethan Thompson is averaging a team-high 15.3 points and 3.9 assists per game. He is shooting 40.5% from the field. Guard Jarod Lucas is next on the list with 12.9 PPG while shooting 39.4% from three-point range.

The Volunteers have a trio of players averaging at least 11 points a game led by guard Jaden Springer’s 12.5 PPG. He is shooting 47% from the field and 44.4% from three-point range. Guard Josiah-Jordan James is the team’s leading rebounder with 6.2 a game.

• ORST - Ethan Thompson (15.3 PPG, 3.6 RPG)
• ORST - Jarod Lucas (12.9 PPG)

• TENN - Jaden Springer (12.5 PPG)
• TENN - Keon Johnson (11.2 PPG)

March Madness Records & Trends

Oregon State Beavers

• All-Time Record: 12-20
• Last Appearance: 2016
• Deepest Run: Final Four (1963)

-- Oregon State has lost seven straight NCAA Tournament games, and 11 of its last 13.
-- Oregon State has covered the spread in three straight games when playing on a neutral court.
-- Oregon State has covered the spread in 10 of its last 11 games.
-- Oregon State has gone OVER the point total in six straight games.

Tennessee Volunteers

• All-Time Record: 22-23
• Last Appearance: 2019
• Deepest Run: Elite Eight (2010)

--Tennessee has won six of its last nine NCAA Tournament games.
-- Tennessee has gone into three overtime periods in nine straight NCAA Tournament games.
-- Tennessee has lost by five points or less in three straight NCAA Tournament games in which they are eliminated.
-- Tennessee has been eliminated by a Big Ten school in four of its last five NCAA Tournament appearances.
-- Tennessee has covered the spread in five of its last six games after failing to cover the spread the game prior.
-- Tennessee has gone OVER the point total in eight of its last nine games after going UNDER the game prior.

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