Last Updated Jan 18, 2023, 8:26 AM
Duke's Mayo Bowl Betting 2023 Prediction, Preview, Odds
Sports Betting Expert
The Maryland Terrapins defeated the N.C. State Wolfpack 16-12 in the 2022 Duke's Mayo Bowl.
Check out last year's coverage here below and tune back in with us soon for the 2023 Duke's Mayo Bowl Odds, Picks and Predictions.
Two former ACC rivals will square off in the Duke’s Mayo Bowl on Friday. The 7-5 Maryland Terrapins will face the 8-4 North Carolina State Wolfpack in the first meeting between these teams since Maryland left for the Big Ten at the end of the 2013 season.
The all-time series between these teams is tied 33-33-4 over the course of 70 games, so the winner will have bragging rights for the foreseeable future.
The 2022 Duke’s Mayo Bowl will be played on Friday, December 30, 2022, at 12 p.m. ET on ESPN from Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, North Carolina.
N.C. State Wolfpack vs. Maryland Terrapins Betting Prediction
Both these offenses are at a disadvantage coming into this game. Maryland will be without its top three receivers, while North Carolina State is without playmaking quarterback Devin Leary. That has led to the total being placed in the mid-40s for the Duke’s Mayo Bowl.
While most of the action looks to be on NC State with the game in North Carolina, the value lies with a Maryland team that was locked in last year and won its bowl game by 44 points.
Score Prediction: Maryland 26, N.C. State 21
Best Bet: Maryland +1 (-110)
N.C. State Wolfpack vs. Maryland Terrapins Betting Odds
Duke's Mayo Bowl Betting Resources
- Date: Friday, December 30, 2022
- TV-Time: ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: Bank of America Stadium
- Location: Charlotte, North Carolina
- Expert Picks
N.C. State Wolfpack Betting Analysis
The Wolfpack were very dangerous on offense when Devin Leary was on the field. However, NC State fell apart over the second half of the season after Leary went down with an injury.
Leary announced that he was transferring to Kentucky with the intention of replacing Will Levis earlier this month, so either M.J. Morris or Ben Finley will start under center for NC State.
Morris is reportedly healthy ahead of the bowl game after an injury-checkered last few weeks of the regular season, but head coach Dave Doeren has not declared whether Morris or Finley will be the starter.
Morris and Finley are both freshmen, so whoever gets the start is the presumptive No. 1 QB going into the 2023 season.
NC State’s offense already has plenty of questions as big play threat Devin Carter entered the transfer portal. No one knows whether or not explosive running back Demie Sumo-Karngbaye will be available for this game as he has been dealing with injuries, so Jordan Houston is likely to see the bulk of the carries.
Thayer Thomas leads the Wolfpack with 53 receptions for 588 yards and four touchdowns.
The Wolfpack ranked 13th in Defensive SP+. They had a strong front seven and forced a lot of turnovers in the secondary. Six different players recorded multiple interceptions with Aydan White leading NC State with four picks.
Devan Boykin may not be healthy enough to suit up in this game, but it looks like this unit will largely be intact.
Maryland Terrapins Betting Analysis
Taulia Tagovailoa has made a name for himself at Maryland since transferring over from Alabama after the 2019 season.
The younger brother of Tua Tagovailoa decided to make a name for himself after his brother was a Heisman Trophy finalist for the Crimson Tide, and he found a great landing spot with the Terrapins.
In his three seasons as a starter, Tagovailoa has completed over 68% of his passes for 7,658 yards (8.1 YPA) with 50 touchdowns and 24 interceptions.
However, he will be at a disadvantage in the bowl game as Maryland’s three most talented receivers are opting out to enter the NFL Draft.
Rakim Jarrett, Jacob Copeland, and Dontay Demus Jr. were all highly touted recruits coming out of high school. They didn’t post big numbers with the Terps this season, but Jarrett and Demus have dealt with injuries.
Tight end C.J. Dippre is also unavailable after entering the transfer portal. Jeshaun Jones and tight end Corey Dyches are both set to suit up though, and they each had 35 receptions or more this season.
Running back Roman Hemby will carry the load in the backfield, and he ran for 924 yards and 10 touchdowns while averaging 5.6 YPC this season. Hemby was also a factor in the passing game with 30+ receptions.
Maryland’s defense is ranked 46th in SP+. The Terps did a great job of limiting opponents in the passing game, allowing 6.3 YPA while keeping things in front of them.
Unfortunately, they will be without linebacker Ahmad McCullough, as he entered the transfer portal, and cornerback Deonte Banks opted out to prepare for the NFL Draft after a strong season.
Maryland did receive good news though when linebacker Durell Nchami announced that he would take part in the bowl game despite leaving school to prepare for the NFL Draft.
Duke's Mayo Bowl History
The Belk Bowl started in 2002 and the matchup currently features schools from the Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC) and the Southeastern Conference (SEC). The game takes place at Bank of America Stadium from Charlotte, North Carolina. This game was previously called the Meineke Car Care Center Bowl and the Continental Tire Bowl before Belk obtained sponsorship rights in 2011.
Favorites had won seven straight times from 2011-2017 until Virginia wiped out South Carolina, 28-0 in 2018, followed by Kentucky rallying past Virginia Tech, 37-30 in 2019. Six of the past eight Belk Bowls have been decided by double-digits, including the infamous Cincinnati cover against Duke in 2012 when the Bearcats scored two late touchdowns to cash as nine-point favorites, 48-34.
In 2020, Duke's Mayo took over the sponsorship rights to the annual bowl game in Charlotte, retiring the Belk Bowl name. The sponsorship deal is for six years, keeping this bowl game going through 2025.
In the 2020 installment, Wisconsin picked up a 42-28 victory over Wake Forest in a Big Ten vs. ACC matchup, as the favorite cashed with an 'over' result.
On Dec. 29, 2021, the game featured a border war between North Carolina of the ACC and South Carolina of the SEC. The Gamecocks pulled off the big upset at 12.5-point underdogs, stunning the Tar Heels 38-21 as the 'over' connected. The underdog is 4-1 ATS across the past five bowls at this venue, with the 'over' also 4-1 during the five-game span.
|Year||Matchup||Line, Total||ATS Result|
|2022||Maryland Terrapins 16 NC State Wolfpack 12||NC State -2, 45||Underdog, Under|
|2021||South Carolina 38 North Carolina 21||North Carolina -12.5, 57.5||Underdog, Over|
|2020||Wisconsin 42 Wake Forest 28||Wisconsin -10, 51.5||Favorite, Over|
|2019||Kentucky 37 Virginia Tech 30||Virginia Tech -2, 46||Underdog, Over|
|2018||Virginia 28 South Carolina 0||South Carolina -3.5, 54||Underdog, Under|
|2017||Wake Forest 55 Texas A&M 52||Wake Forest -3.5, 62.5||Underdog, Over|
|2016||Virginia Tech 35 Arkansas 24||Virginia Tech -7.5, 61.5||Favorite, Under|
|2015||Mississippi State 51 N.C. State 28||Mississippi State -6, 61.5||Favorite, Over|
|2014||Georgia 37 Louisville 14||Georgia -7, 54.5||Favorite, Under|
|2013||North Carolina 39 Cincinnati 17||North Carolina -2.5, 58||Favorite, Under|
|2012||Cincinnati 48 Duke 34||Cincinnati -9, 62.5||Favorite, Over|
|2011||N.C. State 31 Louisville 24||N.C. State -1.5, 44||Favorite, Over|
|2010||USF 31 Clemson 26||Clemson -5.5, 40.5||Underdog, Over|
|2009||Pittsburgh 19 North Carolina 17||Pick-em, 44.5||Under|
|2008||West Virginia 31 North Carolina 30||West Virginia -2.5, 47||Underdog, Over|
|2007||Wake Forest 24 Connecticut 10||Wake Forest -2, 46.5||Favorite, Under|
|2006||Boston College 25 Navy 24||Boston College -7.5, 48||Underdog, Over|
|2005||N.C. State 14 USF 0||N.C. State -3.5, 41||Favorite, Under|
|2004||Boston College 37 North Carolina 24||North Carolina -4, 51||Underdog, Over|
|2003||Virginia 23 Pittsburgh 16||Virginia -3, 56.5||Favorite, Under|
|2002||Virginia 48 West Virginia 22||West Virginia -5.5, 54||Underdog, Over|