Last Updated Jan 16, 2023, 8:46 AM

Frisco Bowl Betting 2023 Odds, Predictions, Preview

The Boise State Broncos defeated the North Texas Mean Green 35-32 in the 2022 Frisco Bowl.

Check out last year's coverage here below and tune back in with us soon for the 2023 Frisco Bowl Odds, Picks and Predictions.

Both the North Texas Mean Green and the Boise State Broncos came up short on Championship Weekend. North Texas was able to stick with UTSA for the first half in the Conference USA Championship Game before being blown out, while Boise State fell at home to Fresno State in the MWC Championship Game.

Each team is hoping to end the season on a high note with a win in the Frisco Bowl on Saturday, December 17, 2022, at 9:15 p.m. ET on ESPN from Toyota Stadium in Frisco, Texas.

North Texas vs. Boise State Betting Prediction

Andy Avalos led the Boise State Broncos to an unbeaten record in MWC play during the regular season in his second year at the helm of this program. However, Boise State could only go 1-3 in non-conference play, and the team’s only win came against FCS side UT Martin by 23 points.

Meanwhile, the North Texas Mean Green went on the road and blew out UTEP (a team that beat Boise State by 17 points) and Western Kentucky, so the Mean Green shouldn’t be a double-digit underdog by oddsmakers. Expect a close matchup in this year's Frisco Bowl.

Score Prediction: Boise State 31 North Texas 27
Best Bet: North Texas +10

North Texas vs. Boise State Betting Odds

North Texas vs. Boise State Betting Resources

  • Date: Saturday, December 17, 2022
  • Kickoff: 9:15 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN
  • Venue: Toyota Stadium
  • Location: Frisco, Texas
  • Expert Picks

North Texas Betting Analysis

The Mean Green have a big play offense with Austin Aune under center. Aune is only completing 56.7% of his passes, but he threw for over 3,300 yards with 32 touchdowns and 13 interceptions this season and averaged 8.7 YPA. The offensive line did an excellent job protecting him as he was only sacked 10 times all season, and Manase Mose was a First Team All-CUSA selection up front.

There wasn’t one receiver that stood out in this offense. Instead, Aune effectively distributed the ball to a half dozen targets that all had their moment in the sun. Jyaire Shorter is the most dangerous receiver on the team though with 22 receptions for 598 yards and 10 touchdowns this season. Ayo Adeyi and Ikaika Ragsdale are the top running backs on the team and combined to run for 1,401 yards and nine touchdowns during the regular season.

North Texas ranks 108th in Defensive SP+. The Mean Green have been bad on third down and have not been good against either the run or the pass. There is some talent on this side of the ball though as leading tackler K.D. Davis and safety Ridge Texada (15 pbu, 3 INT) were First Team All-CUSA selections. Linebacker Mazin Richards led the team with 7.5 sacks and was a Second Team All-CUSA choice.

RB George Holani will lead the Boise State ground game on Saturday versus North Texas. (Getty)

Boise State Betting Analysis

Taylen Green replaced Hank Bachmeier as Boise State’s starting quarterback after the first four games of the season. The Broncos were 2-2 at the time and the offense was struggling to move the chains, so Avalos decided to roll the dice with the more mobile Green. That ended up working out beautifully for Boise State with Green completing 61.4% of his passes for 1,905 yards (7.7 YPA) with 13 touchdowns and six interceptions. Green was only sacked six times too since he is such a mobile threat, and he has run for 467 yards (6.8 YPC) and eight touchdowns.

Star running back George Holani paces this offense. Holani has run for 1,133 yards (5.3 YPC) and 10 touchdowns, and he is finally healthy again after an injury-plagued 2020 and 2021. Freshman Ashton Jeanty has been a nice change of pace back too. Latrell Caples and Billy Bowens are the top receivers available for the Broncos as Stefan Cobbs will miss this game with an injury.

Boise State has the 28th ranked defense per SP+. The Broncos are allowing just 19.5 PPG and 292.2 YPG, but they haven’t faced many quality passing attacks in the MWC. Safety J.L. Skinner was a First Team All-MWC selection after leading Boise State with four interceptions, yet this unit could have some trouble against a North Texas team that is comfortable airing it out.

Frisco Bowl History

The Frisco Bowl began in 2017 and the inaugural edition featured schools from Conference USA and the American Athletic Conference (AAC). The game takes place at Toyota Stadium in Frisco, Texas. The current tie-in now pits C-USA teams and a Mountain West representative.

Louisiana Tech crushed SMU in the opening Frisco Bowl, 51-10 to easily cover as four-point underdogs. The second installment of this bowl had less excitement than the first as Ohio blanked San Diego State 27-0.

The 2019 installment was a stunner as Kent State outlasted Utah State 51-41 as a seven-point underdog while the 'over' (71.5) was smashed easily. This victory for the Golden Flashes was the first bowl win in school history. The previous bowl appearances for Kent State saw the school suffer losses in the 1952 Refrigerator Bowl, the 1972 Tangerine Bowl and the 2012 team falling in the 2013 Bowl. 

The COVID-19 global pandemic wiped out the 2020 version of this game, but the game returned on Dec. 21, 2021 pitting a pair of Top 25 teams. UTSA of Conference USA and San Diego State of the Mountain West met. San Diego State took advantage of the fact UTSA's leading rusher, Sincere McCormick, opted out to prepare for the NFL Draft. The Aztecs racked up a 38-24 win, as the Mountain West won for the first time in three Frisco Bowls. The Aztecs also avenged a 2018 loss in Frisco, a game in which they were blanked.

YearMatchupLine, TotalATS Result
2022Boise State Broncos 35 North Texas Mean Green 32BOIS -12, 64Underdog, Over
2021San Diego State 38 UTSA 24San Diego State -3, 48.5Favorite, Over
2019Kent State 51 Utah State 41Utah State -7, 71.5Underdog, Over
2018Ohio 27 San Diego State 0 Ohio -2, 48Favorite, Under
2017Louisiana Tech 51 SMU 10SMU -4, 70.5Underdog, Under

For more information on bowl games, check out our College Football Bowl Central

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