2023 Texas Bowl Betting Odds, Predictions, Preview

The Texas Bowl wrapped up on Wednesday, December 27, 2023 and bettors saw Oklahoma State beat Texas A&M, 31-23 as 3.5-point favorites.

Recap all the 2023 Texas Bowl Betting Odds, Picks, Predictions and History below and be sure to check back for the 2024 installment. Check out our North Carolina Sportsbooks guide to get the best bonus offer when you place your bets.

Texas Bowl Betting Odds


  • Opening point spread: Texas A&M -4.5
  • Opening moneyline: Texas A&M -205/Oklahoma State +170
  • Opening total: Over/Under 53.5 points scored
  • Time: 9 p.m. ET Wednesday, Dec. 27 (ESPN)

UPDATE NOON ET WEDNESDAY, DEC. 27: Texas A&M has an extensive list of players in the transfer portal or opting out. And as noted in the previous update (see below), coach Jimbo Fisher was fired during the season.

So, while the Aggies opened -4.5 at BetMGM, this line slowly made its way toward Oklahoma State the past four weeks. By Dec. 14, A&M was down to -2; on Tuesday, the line jumped the fence to Oklahoma State -1, and the Cowboys are now out to -3.5.

Spread tickets are nearly 5/1 and spread money beyond 9/1 on Oklahoma State. On the moneyline, tickets are 2/1 Cowboys, but money is almost even, with a slight lean toward the Aggies.

The total opened at 53.5 on Dec. 3, then went to 54.5 and back to 53.5 on Dec. 4. Tuesday morning saw a dip to 53, but within a few hours, the number got back up to 54.5. That's where it sits now, with ticket count 6/1 and money 3/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY, DEC. 8: Oklahoma State (9-4 SU/7-6 ATS) had a far better season than Texas A&M, but is a Texas Bowl underdog. The Cowboys reached the Big 12 title game, where they got trucked by Texas 49-21 as 14.5-point underdogs.

Texas A&M (7-5 SU/5-6-1 ATS) lost at LSU 42-30 catching 11.5 points in its regular-season finale. Coach Jimbo Fisher was fired during the regular season, on Nov. 12.

The Aggies opened -4.5 vs. the Sooners at Caesars Sports, and within a few hours Dec. 4, the line dipped to A&M -4/-3.5. On Dec. 7, A&M slipped to -3. The total went from 53.5 to 54 and back to 53.5 on Dec. 4.

Click here for Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson's full College Football Bowl Odds: Spreads, Lines, Trends for Every Bowl Game.

Texas Bowl Pick, Prediction

Action Network college football betting expert Collin Wilson offers this prediction:

There might not be a better coach to blindly put money down on in bowl season than Mike Gundy, who's 11-6 against the spread in bowl games. There's also motivation on Gundy's side, losing this very bowl to Texas A&M in 2019.

The offense is all about man-blocking schemes and counter for Doak Walker Award winner Ollie Gordon II.

The Texas A&M defense is in flux as of writing, losing several run defenders, including Walter Nolen to Fadil Diggs. Linebacker Edgerrin Cooper and interior McKinnley Jackson are the next names to watch as the Aggies transition from Jimbo Fisher to Mike Elko.

Before interim coach Elijah Robinson can start his work as Syracuse's defensive coordinator, he's tasked with leading bowl preparations for quarterback Jaylen Henderson.

But even at full strength, Texas A&M has not found a way to stop offenses that run man-blocking schemes, owning a 42% Success Rate.

Pick: Oklahoma State +3

For more college football picks, check out Action Network's College Football Bowl Confidence Pool Rankings: Collin Wilson’s Picks for All 2023 Bowl Games.

Texas Bowl Betting Resources

  • Date: Wednesday, December 27, 2023
  • TV-Time: ESPN, 9:00 p.m. ET
  • Venue: NRG Stadium
  • Location: Houston, Texas

Texas Bowl History

The Texas Bowl began in 2006 and the matchup currently features schools from the Big 12 Conference and the Southeastern Conference (SEC). The game takes place at NRG Stadium from Houston, Texas. This game was previously called the Meineke Car Care Bowl of Texas prior to receiving a sponsorship from AdvoCare V100. 

Texas dumped Missouri, 33-16 in 2017 installment, while Baylor rallied past Vanderbilt, 45-38 in 2018, which helped the Big 12 improve to a 5-5 record in the Texas Bowl. The 'under' has connected in eight of the last 12 battles. 

Oklahoma State picked up the backdoor cover with 66 seconds remaining, but Texas A&M kept the home crowd happy at NRG Stadium in Houston with the 24-21 victory as the 'under' cashed for just the second time in the past six Texas Bowls.

The 2020 installment of the Texas Bowl, scheduled for Dec. 31, 2020, was wiped out due to the COVID-19 global pandemic.

The game returned on Jan. 4, 2022 at NRG Stadium in Houston as the standalone game between New Year's Day and the CFP Championship Game, with Kansas State routing a shorthanded LSU team by a 42-20 count as the favorite connected.

Five straight underdogs covered from 2016-22, but Oklahoma State broke that streak by cashing as a favorite in a win over Texas A&M in 2023.

Texas Bowl Betting Results

YearMatchupSpread, TotalsATS Result
2023Oklahoma State 31 Texas A&M 23 Oklahoma State -3.5, 55.5Favorite, Under
2022Texas 42 Mississippi 25 Mississippi -4.5, 72.5Underdog, Under
2019Texas A&M 24 Oklahoma State 21Texas A&M -4.5, 56Underdog, Under
2018Baylor 45 Vanderbilt 38Vanderbilt -4.5, 57Underdog, Over
2017Texas 33 Missouri 16Missouri -3, 62Underdog, Under
2016Kansas State 33 Texas A&M 28Texas A&M -4, 56.5Underdog, Over
2015LSU 56 Texas Tech 27LSU -7, 74.5Favorite, Over
2014Arkansas 31 Texas 7Arkansas -7, 43Favorite, Under
2013Syracuse 21 Minnesota 17Minnesota -3.5, 48Underdog, Under
2012Texas Tech 34 Minnesota 31Texas Tech -13, 55Underdog, Over
2011Texas A&M 33 Northwestern 22Texas A&M -9.5, 69Favorite, Under
2010Illinois 38 Baylor 14Illinois -2, 65Favorite, Under
2009Navy 35 Missouri 13Missouri -6, 54Underdog, Under
2008Rice 38 Western Michigan 14Rice -2, 73.5Favorite, Under
2007TCU 20 Houston 13TCU -7, 58Push, Under
2006Rutgers 37 Kansas State 10Rutgers -9, 44.5Favorite, Over
2005TCU 27 Iowa State 24Pick-em, 49.5Over
2004Colorado 33 UTEP 28Colorado -2, 59.5Favorite, Over
2003Texas Tech 38 Navy 14Texas Tech -10.5, 72Favorite, Under
2002Oklahoma State 33 Southern Miss 23Oklahoma State -10, 47.5Push, Over
2001Texas A&M 28 TCU 9Texas A&M -4.5, 41Favorite, Under
2000East Carolina 40 Texas Tech 27Texas Tech -1, 53Underdog, Over

College Football Bowl Betting Resources

College Football Playoff Odds: Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends for Semifinal Games

College Football Playoff odds for the semifinals are on the board and getting attention, even as debate rages over the four participants. Michigan nabbed the No. 1 ranking and a meeting with No. 4 Alabama in the Rose Bowl on New Year's Day. No. 2 Washington then faces No. 3 Texas in the Sugar Bowl.

Here’s everything you need to know about College Football Playoff odds for the semis: opening lines, spreads and betting trends for each game, as multiple oddsmakers provide insights on CFP odds and action. Check back regularly for updates and use our new ESPN BET bonus code VIBONUS to get the most out of your action.

College Football Playoff Odds for Semifinals