2024 Sugar Bowl Betting Odds, Predictions, Preview

The Sugar Bowl wrapped up on Monday, January 1, 2024 and bettors saw Washington stave off Texas, 37-31 as 3.5-point underdogs in New Orleans, Louisiana.

Recap all the 2024 Sugar Bowl Betting Odds, Picks, Predictions and History below and be sure to check back for the 2025 installment.

Sugar Bowl Betting Odds

UT @ WASH Odds

  • Opening point spread: Texas -4.5
  • Opening moneyline: Texas -190/Washington +170
  • Opening total: Over/Under 62.5 points scored
  • Time: 8:45 p.m. Monday, Jan. 1 (ESPN)

UPDATE 2 P.M. ET MONDAY, JAN. 1: A few hours before kickoff, Texas is down to -3.5 (-115) at BetMGM. Back on Dec. 3, the Longhorns opened -4.5 (-105), then moved to -4 on Dec. 5. The number stuck there until dipping to Texas -3.5 (-115) Saturday, but it then rebounded to -4.5 (-105) Sunday.

Underdog Washington is landing 58% of spread tickets/56% of spread cash. Moneyline betting is more pronounced, with 77% of tickets/68% of money on the Huskies.

"Not much new on Texas-Washington. It's still looking like we'll need Texas to cover -4," Magee said.

BetMGM's total opened at 62.5 and quickly got to 64.5 on Dec. 3. On Dec. 16, it fell back to 63. Wednesday brought a move up to 63.5, but this morning, the total returned to 62.5. All that noted, the Over is attracting 63% of tickets/79% of money.

UPDATE 4 P.M. ET FRIDAY, DEC. 29: Texas is -4 (-115) at Caesars in the second semifinal. That's where the Longhorns opened, and early in the month, the line made a couple trips to Texas -4.5. But it's been stuck on Texas -4, either flat or -115, since Dec. 6.

"There's not too much interest in Texas-Washington so far," Feazel said, noting that comparatively, Alabama-Michigan is sucking up the oxygen. "But I'm sure that'll change as we get closer to Monday's kickoff."

Feazel envisions a scenario in which Washington does what it did often this season: Keep the game close and find a way to win.

"I wouldn't be surprised if we see that in this game," he said. "Texas is better on paper, on both sides of the ball. But Washington has great players, including Michael Penix Jr. The Huskies are always gonna be in games. They're well-coached."

Like the spread, Caesars' total has operated in a small window. The total opened at 64, touched 64.5 for a few hours on Dec. 4, then returned to 64. On Dec. 18, the number dipped to 63.5, and it hasn't moved since.

UPDATE 4:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY, DEC. 22: Probably no surprise, but by ticket count, this is the No. 2 most-bet bowl game at BetMGM. Washington is taking the second-most spread tickets and third-most spread dollars.

Since Dec. 12 at BetMGM (see below update), there's been no spread movement. Texas remains 4-point chalk, and Washington is landing 63% of spread bets/60% of spread money. And as on Dec. 12, the moneyline is tilted toward the Huskies, at 82% of tickets/81% of money.

The total has moved over the past week and a half. On Saturday, BetMGM fell back from 64.5 to 63. So it's almost back to the 62.5 opener of Dec. 3. That noted, tickets and money remain in the 3/1 range on the Over.

UPDATE MIDNIGHT ET TUESDAY, DEC. 12: Texas opened -4.5 in BetMGM's College Football Playoff odds semifinals market, on Dec. 3. The line saw a couple of juice adjustments, to -4.5 (-105), then back to -4.5 flat, before falling to -4 on Dec. 5.

Underdog Washington is netting 65% of early spread tickets/60% of early spread money. Moneyline action is more tilted toward the Huskies, at 83% of tickets/79% of cash.

After opening at 62.5, the total has been painted to 64.5 at BetMGM since late on Dec. 3. Tickets and money are 3/1-plus on the Over.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY, DEC. 3: Washington (13-0 SU/7-5-1 ATS) was a 9.5-point underdog vs. Oregon in the Pac-12 championship game. The Ducks advancing to the CFP and Bo Nix winning the Heisman Trophy were considered highly likely.

However, the Huskies jumped out to a 10-0 first-quarter lead and were up 20-3 late in the first half. Ultimately, Washington had to overcome Oregon's comeback bid – the Huskies trailed 24-20 late in the third quarter – but came away with a 34-31 victory.

Texas (12-1 SU/7-6 ATS) pretty much had to get into the CFP if Alabama got in, because the Longhorns went on the road and beat the Tide 34-24 in Week 2. In Saturday's Big 12 championship game, Texas drubbed Oklahoma State 49-21 laying 14.5 points.

The SuperBook opened Texas a 4.5-point favorite vs. Washington in the Sugar Bowl.

"Washington just hasn't gotten a lot of respect in the market or from bettors. Texas is a very public team, and let's face it, Texas is rolling right now," Murray said. "But the Pac-12 had a terrific season. I don't think the Big 12 was that great this year. This will be an interesting game, and we've knocked this line down to 4."

Click here for Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson's full College Football Bowl Odds: Spreads, Lines, Trends for Every Bowl Game.

Sugar Bowl Best Bet

Washington Huskies +4.5 (-110)

The #2 Washington Huskies (13-0, 7-6 ATS) take on the #3 Texas Longhorns (12-1, 6-6-1 ATS) in the CFB Playoff Semi Final on New Year's Day. This game will be played at 8:45 ET January 1st from the Caesar's Super Dome in New Orleans, LA. The game opened with UW a +4 underdog at UT (-4pt favorite) and the O/U is set at 64. Unfortunately for UW fans they'll have to travel to New Orleans instead of their preferred Rose Bowl closer to home in Pasadena CA. Not sure why the committee did that. But it is what it is. Last game for UT, they won 49-21 in the Big 12 Championship game vs. OKST. For Washington, last game out they won the Pac 12 Championship in Las Vegas, taking down Oregon 34-31. (Washington covered the +9.5, and the line went UNDER the 65). In case you forget, there's some intrigue with this matchup. Steve Sarkisian (current UT Coach) used to be the HC at Washington from 09-13. This game is also a rematch from the 2022 Alamo Bowl, where we saw UW defeat the Longhorns 27-20 in San Antonio. In that matchup UT scored 10 late points but behind Penix's arm (287 yards and 2 TD's) UW got the job done. UW also got the job done on the ground in that one. In this game though I think the Huskies will have their greatest chance to cover this spread vs. UT via the pass. UW is the best passing attack in the country. Can UT's frosh corner(s) play mistake free football? Sure, UT have some dudes on their DLine, but I like how the Dawgs match up in the trenches to give Penix time. UW have faced the Ducks twice. Those 2 games have prepared the Huskies for what UT will bring on defense. What did they do to them? They ran screens and routes going sideline to sideline, AND they mixed in an explosive run-game combined with play-action. Expect a game plan that keep's UT on their toes all game long. Penix will be relentless. OU beat Texas this year, and that's exactly what UW is going to do in this one. UW's plan will be to wear down the UT defense. I just don't see a scenario where Texas covers this spread (+4.5). Trends, UW are 10-0 SU L10, and 5-1 ATS L6 when playing as an underdog.

Sugar Bowl Betting Resources

  • Date: Monday, January 1, 2024
  • TV-Time: ESPN, 8:45 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Caesars Superdome
  • Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
The Caesars Superdome will host the College Football Playoff semifinal matchup from New Orleans, Louisiana. (Getty)

Sugar Bowl History

Sugar Bowl Logo

The Sugar Bowl started in 1935, and the matchup currently features schools from the Southeastern Conference (SEC) and at-large conferences. The game takes place at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana as the previous venue for this contest was Tulane Stadium in New Orleans from 1934-1974. This game was named the USF&G Sugar Bowl and Nokia Sugar Bowl prior to Allstate acquiring sponsorship rights in 2007. 

The Sugar Bowl is part of the College Football Playoff rotation and was part of three semifinal matchups played in 2014, 2018, and 2021.

In Jan. 2021, Ohio State roughed up Clemson 49-28 to punch their ticket to the national title game, a rare 'over' result lately in the Sugar Bowl.

In the Jan. 1, 2022 game between Baylor and Ole Miss, the Bears knocked out Rebels QB Matt Corral early, and then used its defense for a 21-7 low-scoring win. The 'under' is now 6-1 across the past seven Sugar Bowls.

Washington knocked off Texas in the College Football Playoff semifinal in 2023 by a 37-31 count to advance to the National Championship.

Sugar Bowl Betting Results

YearMatchupSpread, TotalsATS Result
2023Washington 37 Texas 31Texas -3.5, 61.5Underdog, Over
2022Alabama 45 Kansas State 20Alabama -7.5, 58Favorite, Over
2021Baylor 21 Ole Miss 7Ole Miss -2.5, 60.5Underdog, Under
2020Ohio State 49 Clemson 28Clemson -7, 69Underdog, Over
2019Georgia 26 Baylor 14Georgia -3.5, 44Favorite, Under
2018Texas 28 Georgia 21Georgia -13, 60Underdog, Under
2017Alabama 24 Clemson 6Alabama -3.5, 47Favorite, Under
2016Oklahoma 35 Auburn 19Oklahoma -2.5, 66.5Favorite, Under
2015Mississippi 48 Oklahoma State 20Mississippi -8, 70.5Favorite, Under
2014Ohio State 42 Alabama 35Alabama -7.5, 57.5Underdog, Over
2013Oklahoma 45 Alabama 31Alabama -17, 52Underdog, Over
2012Louisville 33 Florida 23Florida -14.5, 47.5Underdog, Over
2011Michigan 23 Virginia Tech 20 (OT)Michigan -3, 52.5Push, Under
2010Ohio State 31 Arkansas 26Ohio State -3, 57.5Favorite, Under
2009Florida 51 Cincinnati 24Florida -12.5, 59Favorite, Over
2008Utah 31 Alabama 17Alabama -9.5, 46.5Underdog, Over
2007Georgia 41 Hawaii 10Georgia -8, 68.5Favorite, Under
2006LSU 41 Notre Dame 14LSU -8.5, 56Favorite, Under
2005West Virginia 38 Georgia 35Georgia -7, 47Underdog, Over
2004Auburn 16 Virginia Tech 13Auburn -6, 44Underdog, Under
2003LSU 21 Oklahoma 14Oklahoma -6, 47Underdog, Under
2002Georgia 26 Florida State 13Georgia -7.5, 49.5Favorite, Under
2001LSU 47 Illinois 34LSU -2, 60.5Favorite, Over
2000Miami, Fl. 37 Florida 20Miami -6, 58.5Favorite, Under
1999Florida State 46 Virginia Tech 29Florida State -6, 49.5Favorite, Over
1998Ohio State 24 Texas A&M 14Texas A&M -12, 49.5Underdog, Under
1997Florida State 31 Ohio State 14Florida State -7, 47.5Favorite, Under
1996Florida 52 Florida State 20Florida -3.5, 54.5Favorite, Over
1995Virginia Tech 28 Texas 10Texas -2.5, 45Underdog, Under
1994Florida State 23 Florida 17Florida -1.5, 54.5Underdog, Under
1993Florida 41 West Virginia 7Florida -6.5, 54.5Favorite, Under
1992Alabama 34 Miami, Fl. 13Miami -8, 36Underdog, Over
1991Notre Dame 39 Florida 28Florida -6.5, 52.5Underdog, Over
1990Tennessee 23 Virginia 22--
1989Miami, Fl. 33 Alabama 25--
1988Florida State 13 Auburn 7--
1987Auburn 16 Syracuse 16--
1986Nebraska 30 LSU 15--
1985Tennessee 35 Miami, Fl. 7--
1984Nebraska 28 LSU 10--
1983Auburn 9 Michigan 7--
1982Penn State 27 Georgia 23--
1981Pittsburgh 24 Georgia 20--
1980Georgia 17 Notre Dame 10--
1979Alabama 24 Arkansas 9--
1978Alabama 14 Penn State 7--
1977Alabama 35 Ohio State 6--
1976Pittsburgh 27 Georgia 3--
1975Alabama 13 Penn State 6--
1974Nebraska 13 Florida 10--
1973Notre Dame 24 Alabama 23--
1972Oklahoma 14 Penn State 0--
1971Oklahoma 40 Auburn 22--
1970Tennessee 34 Air Force 13--
1969Mississippi 27 Arkansas 22--
1968Arkansas 16 Georgia 2--
1967LSU 20 Wyoming 13--
1966Alabama 34 Nebraska 7--
1965Missouri 20 Florida 18--
1964LSU 13 Syracuse 10--
1963Alabama 12 Mississippi 7--
1962Mississippi 17 Arkansas 3--
1961Alabama 10 Arkansas 3--
1960Mississippi 14 Rice 6--
1959Mississippi 21 LSU 0--
1958LSU 7 Clemson 0--
1957Mississippi 39 Texas 7--
1956Baylor 13 Tennessee 7--
1955Georgia Tech 7 Pittsburgh 0--
1954Navy 21 Mississippi 0--
1953Georgia Tech 42 West Virginia 19--
1952Georgia Tech 24 Mississippi 7--
1951Maryland 28 Tennessee 13--
1950Kentucky 13 Oklahoma 7--
1949Oklahoma 35 LSU 0--
1948Oklahoma 14 North Carolina 6--
1947Texas 27 Alabama 7--
1946Georgia 20 North Carolina 10--
1945Oklahoma State 33 St. Mary's (CA) 13--
1944Duke 29 Alabama 26--
1943Georgia Tech 20 Tulsa 18--
1942Tennessee 14 Tulsa 7--
1941Fordham 2 Missouri 0--
1940Boston College 19 Tennessee 13--
1939Texas A&M 14 Tulane 13--
1938TCU 15 Carnegie Tech 7--
1937Santa Clara 6 LSU 0--
1936Santa Clara 21 LSU 14--
1935TCU 3 LSU 2--
1934Tulane 20 Temple 14--

College Football Bowl Betting Resources

College Football Playoff Odds: Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends for Semifinal Games

College Football Playoff odds for the semifinals are on the board and getting attention, even as debate rages over the four participants. Michigan nabbed the No. 1 ranking and a meeting with No. 4 Alabama in the Rose Bowl on New Year's Day. No. 2 Washington then faces No. 3 Texas in the Sugar Bowl.

Here’s everything you need to know about College Football Playoff odds for the semis: opening lines, spreads and betting trends for each game, as multiple oddsmakers provide insights on CFP odds and action. Check back regularly for updates and use our new ESPN BET bonus code VIBONUS to get the most out of your action.

College Football Playoff Odds for Semifinals