2024 Fiesta Bowl Betting Odds, Predictions, Preview

The Fiesta Bowl wrapped up on Monday, January 1, 2024 and bettors saw Oregon blow out Liberty, 45-6 as 17.5-point favorites in Glendale, Arizona.

Recap all the 2024 Fiesta Bowl Betting Odds, Picks, Predictions and History below and be sure to check back for the 2025 installment.

Fiesta Bowl Betting Odds


  • Opening point spread: Oregon -16
  • Opening moneyline: Oregon -835/Liberty +540
  • Opening total: Over/Under 65 points scored
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET Monday, Jan. 1 (ESPN)

UPDATE 11:30 A.M. ET MONDAY, JAN. 1: The Ducks are hefty 18.5-point favorites at BetMGM, 90 minutes ahead of kickoff. Oregon opened -14 for the Fiesta Bowl, back on Dec. 3, and got out to -16.5 within two days.

The line went to Ducks -18.5 on Dec. 11, then -17.5 on Dec. 13 and -16.5 Wednesday. The weekend brought a climb to Oregon -17 Saturday, -17.5 Sunday and -18.5 this morning. Spread tickets and money are 3/1-plus on the Ducks.

"Liberty is a big need for us," BetMGM trader Seamus Magee said.

BetMGM's total opened at 63.5 and slowly climbed all month long, then made a big surge this morning. Overnight, the number was 67.5; it's since gone to 68.5/69/69.5/70 and is now 70.5. Ticket count is 3/1-plus and money 8/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 8:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY, DEC. 28: Oregon stretched from a -14.5 Dec. 4 opener to -16.5 by Dec. 6 at Caesars Sports. The Ducks twice peaked at -18.5, on Dec. 11 and 15, and they've slowly dialed down since then, to the current -16.5.

"We saw a lot of action early on Oregon," Caesars lead college football trader Joey Feazel said. "Since getting to 18.5, we've seen some buyback on Liberty. There's been a little more opt-out news on the Oregon side, so a little more pushback with action on Liberty of late.

"We're still gonna need Liberty to be competitive in this one."

Caesars' total climbed from 64.5 to 65.5 within several hours of opening on Dec. 4. The number got to 66/66.5 on Dec. 18, 67 on Dec. 20 and 67.5 Wednesday. It's now at 67.

UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY, DEC. 20: On Dec. 3, DraftKings opened Oregon -16.5 in the college football odds New Year's Six market. The Ducks initially backed up to -14.5 on Dec. 4, but rebounded to as high as -18 on Dec. 11.

Oregon is now at -17, with tickets and money in the 3/1 range on the Ducks.

The total opened at 64.5 and slowly made its way to the current high of 67. Early tickets are almost 4/1 and early dollars 6/1-plus on the Over.

UPDATE 4 P.M. ET MONDAY, DEC. 4: Oregon (11-2 SU/10-2-1 ATS) arguably has two better losses than Ohio State and Ole Miss. The Ducks lost twice to Washington, by a total of 6 points.

But in that second meeting, the Pac-12 title game, Oregon was 9.5-point chalk. So losing outright 34-31 substantially dinged the Ducks' credentials. Just look at what happened to Bo Nix's Heisman stock: Nix was a minus-money favorite entering the Pac-12 final, and he's now the +1600 third choice at TwinSpires, with LSU's Jayden Daniels a massive -1430 favorite.

Liberty (13-0 SU/9-4 ATS) was not only perfect on the field this season, but was also a top-10 spread-covering outfit. In the Conference USA final, the Flames pulled away late vs. New Mexico State in a 49-35 victory as 10-point faves.

Oregon hasn't moved off the -16 opener in TwinSpires' college football odds New Year's Six market. Early spread ticket count is 3/1 and early spread money 2/1 on big underdog Liberty.

"Liberty is a very trendy 'dog. It feels like a lot of points," Lucas said.

The total is stable at 65, with tickets and money just shy of 2/1 on the Over.

Click here for Vegas Insider senior reporter Patrick Everson's full College Football Bowl Odds: Spreads, Lines, Trends for Every Bowl Game.

Fiesta Bowl Pick, Prediction

Action Network college football betting expert Collin Wilson offers this prediction:

The opt-outs are coming for Oregon, with running back Bucky Irving being the biggest name on the list thus far. The good news for the Ducks is Bo Nix's status for the game, as the quarterback doesn't want the loss to Washington in the Pac-12 Championship to be his last snap in college football.

With backup quarterback Ty Thompson in the portal, Nix may be the most valuable position player to the point spread across the entire bowl schedule.

Liberty has potential opt-outs as well, namely quarterback Kaidon Salter.

The Flames played the easiest schedule in the nation, running through Conference USA like manure through a tin horn.

Not matter if Salter plays, Liberty would need Nix and the Oregon rush defense to play its worst game of the year to win the Fiesta Bowl.

Pick: Oregon -18.5

For more college football picks, check out Action Network's College Football Bowl Confidence Pool Rankings: Collin Wilson’s Picks for All 2023 Bowl Games.

Fiesta Bowl Betting Resources

  • Date: Monday, January 1, 2024
  • TV-Time: ESPN, 1:00 p.m. ET
  • Venue: State Farm Stadium
  • Location: Glendale, Arizona

Fiesta Bowl History

The Fiesta Bowl started in 1971 and the matchup currently features schools from at-large conferences. The game takes place at University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale, Arizona as the previous venue for this contest was Sun Devil Stadium in Tempe, Arizona from 1971-2006. This game was named the Sunkist Fiesta Bowl, IBM OS/2 Fiesta Bowl, Tostitos Fiesta Bowl, and Vizio Fiesta Bowl prior to BattleFrog acquiring sponsorship rights in 2015. 

Ohio State won straight four appearances in the Fiesta Bowl from 2002-2015, until that streak ended in the 2016 college football playoff in a 31-0 defeat to Clemson. The 'over' has cashed in five of the last eight seasons, while five of the past six bowls have been decided by 10 points or more. Underdogs have cashed in eight of the past 12 bowls, including five teams listed as six-point underdogs or higher that won outright since 2002. 

LSU became the first SEC squad to win the Fiesta Bowl since Tennessee's national championship win over Florida State in 1998. The Tigers rallied past previously undefeated UCF in the 2018 installment, while handing the Knights their first loss in over two seasons.

Ohio State and Clemson squared off in the second College Football Playoff semifinal, a thriller which came down to the very end. The favored Tigers fell behind early by a 16-0 score, but the Tigers showed their championship mettle, firing back ahead with 21 unanswered points. Ohio State clawed back to take a 23-21 lead, but Clemson again answered with a touchdown and two-point conversion to go up 29-23. An interception in the end zone by the Tigers D sealed it in the final minute, as they advanced to face LSU in the national title game.

In 2020, Iowa State doubled up Oregon 34-17 as the favorite hit. And in the 2021 installment, Oklahoma State outlasted Notre Dame as a one-point favorite, winning 37-35.

Favorites have cashed in six of the past seven five Fiesta Bowls, capped off by Oregon blasting Liberty, 45-6 in 2023.

Fiesta Bowl Betting Results

YearMatchupLine, TotalATS Result
2023Oregon 45 Liberty 6Oregon -17.5, 70.5Favorite, Under
2022TCU 51 Michigan 45Michigan -7.5, 56Underdog, Over
2021Oklahoma State 37 Notre Dame 35Oklahoma State -1, 45Favorite, Over
2020Iowa State 34 Oregon 17Iowa State -4.5, 57.5Favorite, Under
2019Clemson 29 Ohio State 23Clemson -2.5, 62.5Favorite, Under
2018LSU 40 Central Florida 32LSU -7, 58Favorite, Over
2017Penn State 35 Washington 28Penn State -3, 55Favorite, Over
2016Clemson 31 Ohio State 0Ohio State -1, 56.5Underdog, Under
2015Ohio State 44 Notre Dame 28Ohio State -3.5, 58Favorite, Over
2014Boise State 38 Arizona 30Arizona -2.5, 66Underdog, Over
2013Central Florida 52 Baylor 42Baylor -16.5, 74Underdog, Over
2012Oregon 35 Kansas State 17Oregon -8, 73.5Favorite, Under
2011Oklahoma State 41 Stanford 38 (OT)Oklahoma State -5, 73Underdog, Over
2010Oklahoma 48 Connecticut 20Oklahoma -16, 54Favorite, Over
2009Boise State 17 TCU 10TCU -7, 54.5Underdog, Under
2008Texas 24 Ohio State 21Texas -9.5, 52Underdog, Under
2007West Virginia 48 Oklahoma 28Oklahoma -6, 61Underdog, Over
2006Boise State 43 Oklahoma 42 (OT)Oklahoma -7, 50.5Underdog, Over
2005Ohio State 34 Notre Dame 20Ohio State -4.5, 55.5Favorite, Under
2004Utah 35 Pittsburgh 7Utah -16, 70Favorite, Under
2003Ohio State 35 Kansas State 28Kansas State -6.5, 42.5Underdog, Over
2002Ohio State 31 Miami (FL) 24Miami -12, 48Underdog, Over
2001Oregon 38 Colorado 16Colorado -3, 61.5Underdog, Under
2000Oregon State 41 Notre Dame 9Oregon State -3, 50.5Favorite, Under
1999Nebraska 31 Tennessee 21Nebraska -3.5, 45.5Favorite, Over
1998Tennessee 23 Florida State 16Florida State -5.5, 41.5Underdog, Under
1997Kansas State 35 Syracuse 18Kansas State -4, 48Favorite, Over
1996Penn State 38 Texas 15Texas -1, 54Underdog, Under
1995Nebraska 62 Florida 24Nebraska -3.5, 59.5Favorite, Over
1994Colorado 41 Notre Dame 24Colorado -7, 50Favorite, Over
1993Arizona 29 Miami (FL) 0Miami -5.5, 35Underdog, Under
1992Syracuse 26 Colorado 22Syracuse -2.5, 42Favorite, Over
1991Penn State 42 Tennessee 17Penn State -4, 45Favorite, Over
1990Louisville 24 Alabama 7Alabama -8.5, 35Underdog, Over
1989Florida State 41 Nebraska 17Florida State -3.5, 53Favorite, Over

College Football Bowl Betting Resources

College Football Playoff Odds: Lines, Spreads, Betting Trends for Semifinal Games

College Football Playoff odds for the semifinals are on the board and getting attention, even as debate rages over the four participants. Michigan nabbed the No. 1 ranking and a meeting with No. 4 Alabama in the Rose Bowl on New Year's Day. No. 2 Washington then faces No. 3 Texas in the Sugar Bowl.

Here’s everything you need to know about College Football Playoff odds for the semis: opening lines, spreads and betting trends for each game, as multiple oddsmakers provide insights on CFP odds and action. Check back regularly for updates and use our new ESPN BET bonus code VIBONUS to get the most out of your action.

College Football Playoff Odds for Semifinals